Quote (bentherdonethat @ Dec 10 2010 10:37pm)
Well, I got to that link simply by making it ".com" at the end instead of the ".c...", so I did have that information in front of me.
The problem with that second link is that there IS no analysis shown. It just says "based on results from this analysis," and does not describe what the analysis was. There are statistical tests that can be performed to determine if two different groups actually have a difference in likelihood of something happen. Were these tests performed, or is it just the opinion of people who write for ProgressiveConvergence.com? We can't know.
http://www.progressiveconvergence.com/miscarriage-cases.htmThis site lists 72 anecdotal miscarriages that occurred within a week of the mother getting a flu vaccine (and then tries to attribute the miscarriage to thimerosal, which is a leap of faith in itself since a tuna sandwich has more mercury than does a flu vaccine). Just 72 women were listed as having a miscarriage that they could POSSIBLY attribute to the vaccine. And your first link claims that 50% of all pregnant women got the vaccine. For this number to fall outside of the range of the normal miscarriage rate (~12%, as I linked above), that would have to mean about 600 pregnant women got the vaccine (12% of 600 is 72). Since half of the number of all pregnant women is far, far greater than 600, it's entirely likely that the miscarriage coincidentally occurred after the vaccine was given.
My main problem with these sources are summarized here:
1) They don't cite their information as to where they got it.
2) They don't tell you how they have analyzed the information, and you're just supposed to trust that they used a legitimate, scientific method
3) A lot of their percentages and comparative numbers (e.g. "187.5 times safer") appear to be made up.
4) They leave out information that would disprove what they have to say.
If this is all they have for "research", then it's no surprise the CDC is discounting what they have to say. The scientific community as a whole requires much higher standards than what the ProgressiveConvergence.com people have set for themselves.
1 in 1.5 million / 1 in 8000 = 187.5
the statistical tests were performed, as stated previously in the pdf file and in cited papers, as noted in the footnotes.
those are only anecdotal miscarriages, it doesn't represent the actual number of miscarriages that were or weren't recorded (as it states that the CDC tried to hide the number of actual miscarriages).
as for the mercury content in the vaccine, it's equivalent to 49 mg/L, and assuming the density of water (1000 grams of water per liter of water), is equivalent to 49 micrograms of mercury per gram of water.
"This dose of .5 mL of swine flu vaccine contains 24.5 micrograms of mercury, as noted in the CSL Limited package insert. According to the EPA guidelines, in order for this amount of mercury to be safe, the individual getting the vaccine would need to weigh 539 pounds."
http://www.suite101.com/content/unsafe-mercury-levels-in-the-swine-flu-vaccine-a164989Average amount of mercury in tuna, from the fda website, in ppm:
"TUNA (CANNED, LIGHT) 0.118"
or, 0.118 micrograms of mercury per gram of tuna
http://www.fda.gov/food/foodsafety/product-specificinformation/seafood/foodbornepathogenscontaminants/methylmercury/ucm115644.htmassuming there's approximately 100 grams of tuna on a tuna sandwich (about half a cup), no, there is not more mercury in a tuna sandwich than in the vaccine.
note i used the value for light tuna, just noticed there's also a value for other tuna that's a higher value, but even then, at .353 ppm, it's still less than in the vaccine.
recommended level of mercury:
"Currently, U.S. EPA uses a RfD of 0.1 µg/kg body weight/day as an exposure without recognized adverse effects."
or 0.1 micrograms of mercury per 1000 grams of body weight per day
http://www.epa.gov/hg/exposure.htmhence the reason you're not supposed to eat a tuna fish sandwich every single day.
so
1) the information is cited in the footnotes of the pdf file, or from the vaers database (Vaccine Adverse Event Reporting System)
2) there isn't really much analysis besides dividing numbers and confidence intervals. any other analysis was done on the vaers database site.
3) just showed you how it wasn't made up.
4) how is this different from other websites, including the cdc, excluding information to disprove what they say? i mean basically, the other websites and the cdc that don't include this information are basically the "disproving" information you're asking about...
This post was edited by StarryNight on Dec 11 2010 02:06am