d2jsp
Log InRegister
d2jsp Forums > Diablo II > Diablo 2 Discussion > Strategy & Guides > Plague > D2:R
Add Reply New Topic New Poll
Member
Posts: 1,152
Joined: Apr 8 2021
Gold: 198.00
May 15 2022 09:16am
Hi,

I have rolled Plague 6 times now. It has rolled +1 all skills every time. Is it 50% to roll +2? Or is it lower than that?
Member
Posts: 11,344
Joined: Jul 2 2019
Gold: 2,170.00
May 15 2022 10:32am
it's random.
Member
Posts: 74,662
Joined: Aug 3 2013
Gold: 3,211.11
Warn: 10%
May 15 2022 10:33am
Quote (xZzzzzZx @ May 15 2022 10:16am)
Hi,

I have rolled Plague 6 times now. It has rolled +1 all skills every time. Is it 50% to roll +2? Or is it lower than that?



Your answer to any “roll” question is always random number generator.



Technically speaking, d2 uses a pseudo random number generator, but we are getting into things obviously above your head.

This post was edited by Bui6Pays40Percent4Wins on May 15 2022 10:35am
Member
Posts: 1,152
Joined: Apr 8 2021
Gold: 198.00
May 15 2022 11:20am
"obviously above your head." - making assumptions eh

I was wondering if it is 1/6 or something like that.
Member
Posts: 5,257
Joined: Sep 6 2016
Gold: 1,880.00
May 15 2022 12:52pm
Quote (Bui6Pays40Percent4Wins @ May 15 2022 05:33pm)
Your answer to any “roll” question is always random number generator.



Technically speaking, d2 uses a pseudo random number generator, but we are getting into things obviously above your head.


How rude
Member
Posts: 4,860
Joined: Sep 26 2006
Gold: 1,695.10
May 22 2022 10:59am
depending on how they programmed the algorithm there are a bunch of factors. you cant control them, so no point to bother understanding how it works exactly. if you're interested anyway just search for rng algorithm + your favorite programming language (python, js, java, c, you name it).
on the point - on launch i had to roll 37 spirit monarchs to get 35fcr. this ladder i rolled 2 swords and 1 shield and had 2x 35fcr. it's luck...
Member
Posts: 50,918
Joined: Jan 20 2010
Gold: 5,335.99
May 22 2022 12:47pm
its 1/2, you're unlucky

pretty much every random number for affixes in the game is even distributions unless its something with a specific weighted formula like staffmod +skills, or forced by hardcaps like socket rolls on cube formulas
Member
Posts: 1,152
Joined: Apr 8 2021
Gold: 198.00
May 22 2022 02:41pm
Dude, it took me 8 times in total haha. I got my friend to roll the 8th time and it almost rolled perfect. According to a binomial probability calc., only 0.39% of people will be more unlucky (on average). So 3-4 out of 1000 people will require 8 or more rolls.

I just know there is some asymmetry with items, with both Tyrael's Might (1/11) vs Templar's, and Stormlash (1/6) vs Horazon's, for example.

On roll 6 and 7, I rolled antiperfect on Enhanced Damage% and +Skills and thought it was bugged or something XD. It just turns out that I was cursed. I single handedly affected the Cham market haha

This post was edited by xZzzzzZx on May 22 2022 02:42pm
Go Back To Strategy & Guides Topic List
Add Reply New Topic New Poll