Quote (poli9 @ Nov 14 2018 04:26am)
Reducing chance of CB below 100% = exponentially less damage over time
Even if CB exactly 100% you will do exponentially less damage over time. Every hit you make, mob has less hp. Less hp = less CB damage.
That's why first/second hit is most valuable.
Quote (poli9 @ Nov 14 2018 04:26am)
Take coin flipping as an example.
On the first flip, yes, you have a 50/50 chance of either heads or tails. Now, understand heads to be a successful crushing blow, and tails to be a failure.
When you flip the second time, your chance is no longer 50/50. Probability multiplies: meaning you have a 0.5^2 chance now. This chance of continually rolling heads (crushing blow) keeps diminishing with each successive flip because multiplying fractions means your product becomes smaller each time.
Sorry, you are completely wrong. Every time i flip coin there is 50% chance of heads and 50% chance of tails.
Even if i flip it second/third/fourth... and so on.
You can check it by yourself. If you flip coin for 100 times you will get ~50 of heads and ~50 of tails (+/- 2-3).
More time you flip coin = more accurate wil be end results.
Probability multiplies when you want get for example heads two/three/four and more times in a row.
Sure it can be even 6 times Heads in a row with chance of ~1,56%.
But we don't calculate chance of landing 6 hits of CB in a row. With 50% of CB you will miss. But no more than 50% of time.
Quote (poli9 @ Nov 14 2018 04:26am)
In other words, PROBABILITY dictates that you will NEVER have 50% chance of crushing blow again AFTER the first attempt in your series of events.
Wrong again. If you flip coin, you will ALWAYS have 50% chance of Heads and 50% chance of Tails in every round.
If the task is to get only heads, then probability is lowers with every time you get Head. Doesn't matter, because in the end of flipping half of your flips will be heads and other half will be Tails.
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Put simply: you only have 50% chance to do the same CB damage as him on the very first hit. You have a 25% chance to do the same CB damage as him on the second hit. Your relative chance (and thus, average CB damage over time) drops exponentially with every swing that follows until you have killed the monster.
The same as with flipping coin. You have 50% chances of CB and 50% chances of miss every single hit. We don't speak about probability of getting every succesful CB hit with chance of CB 50%.
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His chance is always guaranteed
He will slap that thing silly until it dies.
And with 50% CB you misses 50% of time.
And you do no less than ~50% damage of HIS DAMAGE with 100% CB.
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I’m not going to waste more time on you here.
Why? ) I thought you would "teach" me about coins)))
This post was edited by GoreRider on Nov 14 2018 01:20am