Quote (inkanddagger @ Aug 31 2013 08:39pm)
1) I just posted numbers from a calc. I suppose it rounds.
2) Doesn't contradict. I am talking about hit checks in the game, where fractional percentages don't exist.
3) In the game itself, 100 swings or less is what you're going to experience in a zeal vs zeal. So 31 swings out of 100 or 34 swings out of 100 roll a chance to hit in the posted example. But then you have to factor block, and you can't land partial hits in this game, right? So I guess what you're saying is that you will either hit 7 or 8 times, and not 8 either way?
First two points I'm not sure what your refering too so I cant really respond.
3rd point is basically where your getting confused. You cant get " fractional " hits, but that is irrelevent.
To make it more obvious, lets say u hit 1 in 100 times on setup A and 5 in 100 times on setup B. Maybe you only land 4 more hits per 100 swings in setup but.. setup B is MUCH better. This is because you hit 5 TIMES AS MUCH.
Now the difference between 8.5% ultimate chance to hit and 7.75% ultimate chance to hit isn't anything to do with fractional hits. A % change calculation tells you that you will hit 9.68% more with the first setup ( 0.75 / 7.75 x 100 ).
To say that there is a difference less than 1% and therefore these is no difference between the setups is just plain wrong.
Remember these are just averages.. it doesn't mean that in 100 hits you WILL hit 7 or 8 times, its just a probability. If you have a probability of 0.085 of landing a hit, you model 100 hits as a Binomial ( 100,0.085 ) to find out the probability of landing any number of hits between 1 and 100.
This post was edited by Jeebus666 on Aug 31 2013 02:39pm