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Feb 10 2010 09:38pm
Quote (Casey @ Feb 10 2010 08:08pm)
not really - why would the current randomly generated combo depend on the past ones?

thats like rolling a die a bunch of times - the probability that you select the correct number in a sequence of tosses doesnt change whether or not you stick with a single number, or change it each roll


yes it does because instead of having 1 random variable you have 2

sticking with one set helps alot
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Feb 10 2010 10:00pm
Quote (mikeyp1122 @ Feb 10 2010 10:38pm)
yes it does because instead of having 1 random variable you have 2

sticking with one set helps alot


no

lets say i stick with 123

lets say that fails the first time

you're implying that it is somehow more likely to be 123 the next time? no - it's still 1/6 chance

you're falling victim to the "gambler's fallacy" in probability

same thing with the lottery - constantly picking the same number over and over again is no better than picking a different number each time because the events are independent

This post was edited by Casey on Feb 10 2010 10:10pm
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Feb 10 2010 11:34pm
Quote (Casey @ 10 Feb 2010 20:00)
no

lets say i stick with 123

lets say that fails the first time

you're implying that it is somehow more likely to be 123 the next time? no - it's still 1/6 chance

you're falling victim to the "gambler's fallacy" in probability

same thing with the lottery - constantly picking the same number over and over again is no better than picking a different number each time because the events are independent


I'm gonna say just stick with 1-2-3 until that shit works. if it works, it works, if not, oh well, still a +1 gp or +2 gp if hc.
1-2-3 has worked a few times first try for me. that's why I have 3 samurai's.
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Feb 11 2010 09:39pm
fail again, first door, 0/14

ive been going 231 the past 4 :lol:

This post was edited by Casey on Feb 11 2010 09:39pm
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Feb 11 2010 09:48pm
Quote (Casey @ Feb 11 2010 11:39pm)
fail again, first door, 0/14

ive been going 231 the past 4 :lol:


keep at it dude don't change ur combo trust me stay strong u'll get it.
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Feb 12 2010 08:34am
if anyone has any tank armor (rogue only) or heal charms (50+ ee), both lvl 25+++ to let me borrow, please let me know, it would help a TON
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Feb 13 2010 08:03am
If anyone has any lvl 40+ caster gear lmk.
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Feb 14 2010 01:15pm
QUICK HI TO ALL AND A HAPPY VALENTINES DAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Feb 14 2010 02:18pm
Quote (MYGEAR @ Feb 14 2010 03:15pm)
QUICK HI TO ALL AND A HAPPY VALENTINES DAY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


hey emery
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Feb 14 2010 03:04pm
anyone have a sexy mq charm with EE for sale?
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