CPI of February was quite mild but let's see how much tariffs will change that for March.

I wouldn't think much yet, it's just been a pissing match of threats between leaders and while some companies have reacted despite tariffs even going into place, I don't think you're going to see much immediate impact.

Could be wrong, but for the most part its been dogs barking I think.

This post was edited by SBD on Mar 14 2025 08:08am

Recession would mean deflationary for assets like gold, houses, even paper assets.

People are piling into gold because fiat currencies are increasingly being questioned with the amount of global debt.

Central banks across the globe are stock piling gold, a lot of BRICS countries are as well. There's some whispers of potentially a currency/stable coin that will be backed/pegged to value of gold.

The thing about gold, it has been a proven store of value for literal millennia. I really wanted to buy some gold like a year ago but impossible to find close to spot. Not trying to get smacked over the head with 20%+ over spot price from some of these shops.

You could roll the dice on something like B2Gold for exposure. They are due to pour their first bar by the end of June. They are not a single asset miner, but there's a tremendous pressure right now to produce good money out of Back River / Goose Lake since they came in more than double the original construction budget. A gamblers stock.

I want physical. I'm not a doomer that thinks the sky is going to fall or anything, but do think there's some value in holding some gold coins simply from a diversification perspective. The miners are all over the place, half the time they're dumping and touching lows while gold is flying, can't get a read on them.

Not easy saying this but I think we have to test the 540 before going up. Lot of institutional puts open at this level around mid April expiry


Cashed in half of spy calls and Tesla calls



This post was edited by Bazi on Mar 14 2025 10:32am

Absolutely dumbfounding how free short vix trade is anytime it approaches 30. Just dca and wait

I guess that’s something to prepare for after we get this bounce.

540 spy (-12%) means qqq will probably hit 440 (-18%)

I’d imagine the catalyst would be tariffs war going ballistic in April
Or FOMC next week can start the fall if JP comes hawkish

Lets say JP comes dovish next week and talks rate cuts… i’d have a hard time seeing a lower re-test unless Trump goes tariffs crazy




This post was edited by Pharaohmon on Mar 14 2025 01:15pm

Yeah should be a healthy next 2-3 weeks. Volatile but up overall

One thing thats on my mind and concerning me right now is Tsla’s q1 deliveries # and earnings

Im suspecting it might be weak af

Not sure but might be trimming my Tsla position prior for risk management





This post was edited by Pharaohmon on Mar 14 2025 01:42pm