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Nov 16 2023 09:07am
It appears the comment from Baba saying "uncertainty for the business." in the context of doing it with the USA for chips did not go unnoticed!
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Nov 16 2023 10:25am
Quote (Bazi @ Nov 16 2023 04:05pm)
Pivot bearish

Pause and gradual reduction bullish

Rate drop =\= pivot necessarily, depends on time and velocity of the drop


thing is, pivot means fed haven't choice but to do it, which market doesn't like. only short term anyways
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Nov 16 2023 11:30am
Quote (Melatonina @ Nov 16 2023 10:25am)
thing is, pivot means fed haven't choice but to do it, which market doesn't like. only short term anyways


Exactly
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Nov 16 2023 11:33am
Quote (Bazi @ Nov 16 2023 06:30pm)
Exactly


I cant imagine how things gonna be for crypto once shit happens with pivot and more printing inevitably starts pumping again

plz now release etfs already and fucking dump the market. 1 month ago I was like 5% cash but now I am close to 20%. im fucking ready
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Nov 16 2023 11:37am
Quote (Melatonina @ Nov 16 2023 11:33am)
I cant imagine how things gonna be for crypto once shit happens with pivot and more printing inevitably starts pumping again

plz now release etfs already and fucking dump the market. 1 month ago I was like 5% cash but now I am close to 20%. im fucking ready


Let me be little more clear

A drop in rates 50 points q3/q4 next year is not a pivot

This would still be consistent with a pause, which is historically bullish for stocks



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Nov 16 2023 11:41am
Quote (Melatonina @ Nov 16 2023 10:33am)
I cant imagine how things gonna be for crypto once shit happens with pivot and more printing inevitably starts pumping again

plz now release etfs already and fucking dump the market. 1 month ago I was like 5% cash but now I am close to 20%. im fucking ready


Couldn't imagine honestly sitting on cash, i'd always just be second guessing, since nearly every long-term study shows that just missing the best few days in the market will cut your results by over 50% over say a 7 year period. Rather just ride short-term turbulence not having any stress of timing anything. You also have history on your side showing that it yields the best results.

This post was edited by SBD on Nov 16 2023 11:42am
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Nov 16 2023 02:33pm
Quote (SBD @ Nov 16 2023 11:41am)
Couldn't imagine honestly sitting on cash, i'd always just be second guessing, since nearly every long-term study shows that just missing the best few days in the market will cut your results by over 50% over say a 7 year period. Rather just ride short-term turbulence not having any stress of timing anything. You also have history on your side showing that it yields the best results.


Not just cash but historically retail has been bag holding with puts the best few days of the year, every year since 2018

Pain
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Nov 16 2023 02:36pm
Quote (Bazi @ Nov 16 2023 01:33pm)
Not just cash but historically retail has been bag holding with puts the best few days of the year, every year since 2018

Pain


My wife knows nothing about money, 100% research biochem nerd, zero financial or frankly life skills but has the better return out of the two of us because she does what I say and never ever even looks at her account aside from putting more money into it every two weeks and has only bought VUN for the last like 8 years.

Meanwhile I don't always do as I say and my return is lower because, I thought I had those smart moments.
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Nov 16 2023 03:06pm
Quote (SBD @ Nov 16 2023 02:36pm)
My wife knows nothing about money, 100% research biochem nerd, zero financial or frankly life skills but has the better return out of the two of us because she does what I say and never ever even looks at her account aside from putting more money into it every two weeks and has only bought VUN for the last like 8 years.

Meanwhile I don't always do as I say and my return is lower because, I thought I had those smart moments.


This would be me but I got lucky with a couple picks like Nvidia and meta and have been riding off their successes

Without them my wife would be demolishing me and she spends zero time on stocks
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Nov 16 2023 03:28pm
Had Meta at low $100s, sold at high $100s thinking I was champ.

Missed the train on nvidia.

This post was edited by obisent on Nov 16 2023 03:29pm
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