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Member
Posts: 64,763
Joined: Oct 25 2006
Gold: 0.00
May 3 2021 02:15pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ May 3 2021 01:04pm)
The semiconductor space looks very interesting and appealing here.

I added today both through etf+ individual name.

Bought SMH and TSM for long-term holds. Already holding a fair amount of AMD. AMD I absolutely love here. It's been flat since last August while continuing to grow.

I just don't see how sales are not going to explode here when global carmakers are crying day and night about chip shortages and this is 2-3 year issue, not something that will disappear by next quarter. I'm trying to buy a mid-tier gaming PC and it's impossible to find reasonably priced GPUs. How is this trend not going to continue? Like when VR is mainstream are people going to all of the sudden say yeah no thanks I no longer need top-end CPUs and GPUs?

Electric cars and self-driving cars need way more chips versus traditional combustion engines. Smart homes, smart infrastructure needs chips. This is an industry that you have to try very hard to come up with a bearish outlook imo.


This is a good time to get into a lot of tech positions, but semiconductors especially. Everything is slowing because of the chip shortage, but when the new chip plants get up and running production will be so high on everything that's been waiting.

Also, there's the matter that traditional semiconductor heavy businesses aren't slowing down either. Zoom, Slack, and dozens of other companies have been adding datacenter capacity massively.

Honestly, I don't see the semiconductor shortage ending. Like, ever. I expect humanity will max out its semiconductor production capacity for a very very long time.
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May 3 2021 02:34pm
Quote (Thor123422 @ May 3 2021 04:15pm)
This is a good time to get into a lot of tech positions, but semiconductors especially. Everything is slowing because of the chip shortage, but when the new chip plants get up and running production will be so high on everything that's been waiting.

Also, there's the matter that traditional semiconductor heavy businesses aren't slowing down either. Zoom, Slack, and dozens of other companies have been adding datacenter capacity massively.

Honestly, I don't see the semiconductor shortage ending. Like, ever. I expect humanity will max out its semiconductor production capacity for a very very long time.


I think it will ease because they will bring on way more production online eventually but I don't think demand will drop off for many years.

At the heart of every growth industry, chips are absolutely essential. VR, IoT, EV/self-driving vehicles, smart infrastructure, manufacturing. On and on and on.

I did a project on GM and it's crazy how impacted car markers are by this shortage. 1.5-2 billion projected revenue loss because of revenue shortage in GM.

Papa Elon talked about it too. This is from a few weeks ago.

Quote
Musk said the company has had "insane difficulties" with its supply chain over the last quarter. "We've had some of the most difficult supply-chain challenges that we've ever experienced in the life of Tesla," he said on Monday.

The CEO said the global semiconductor chip shortage, which has rocked the automotive industry, as well as port delays impacted manufacturing goals.

In February, Tesla briefly halted production on its Model 3 at its car assembly plant in California, citing supply-chain issues caused by backlogs at ports and severe snowstorms slowing down ground deliveries.

The global semiconductor shortage has wreaked havoc on tech and automotive companies. In January, Bloomberg reported the chip shortage could cost car companies to lose as much as $61 billion in revenue.


This post was edited by ofthevoid on May 3 2021 02:36pm
Member
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May 3 2021 02:52pm
Quote (ofthevoid @ May 3 2021 03:34pm)
I think it will ease because they will bring on way more production online eventually but I don't think demand will drop off for many years.

At the heart of every growth industry, chips are absolutely essential. VR, IoT, EV/self-driving vehicles, smart infrastructure, manufacturing. On and on and on.

I did a project on GM and it's crazy how impacted car markers are by this shortage. 1.5-2 billion projected revenue loss because of revenue shortage in GM.

Papa Elon talked about it too. This is from a few weeks ago.


Join the discord so we can talk finance. I want to have a conversation about commercial real-estate. I guess there's a lot of fraud going on where companies will over-report their past earnings to get a better loan and the groups that have looked into it have found it to be absolutely rampant. Like, 2015 they report their 2013 revenue as 300k, and when refinancing later on they slightly change the address and report their 2013 earnings as 400k. Have you heard anything on this? Seems kinda similar to how 2008 happened in traditional mortgages.

This post was edited by Thor123422 on May 3 2021 02:53pm
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May 3 2021 03:26pm
Wait until you see what is needed 10, 20, 30+ years from now & this isn't limited to semiconductors.

You would be a fool to not own AMD, NVDA, INTC, TSM, MU, ENPH, TSLA, etc. long term.

Semiconductors, chips, other processing power, inverters, microinverters, etc.

This post was edited by S3th on May 3 2021 03:27pm
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May 4 2021 08:50am
>Wall street MMs sell call options
>Wall Street crooks set algos to sell.
>Stocks are being dumped by these institutions
>Options get slaughtered
>Same people start to get in at their target prices and buying back those options for like 70-80% discount
>Algos are turned to buy a few days later
>Many stocks basically return not too far from where they were initially a few days or weeks ago.

rinse & repeat

If anyone was ever wondering how Goldman Sachs and others are making record trading profits.

This post was edited by ofthevoid on May 4 2021 08:52am
Member
Posts: 36,937
Joined: Oct 20 2007
Gold: 48,650.00
May 4 2021 08:54am
Quote (ofthevoid @ May 4 2021 10:50am)
>Wall street MMs sell call options
>Wall Street crooks set algos to sell.
>Stocks are being dumped by these institutions
>Options get slaughtered
>Same people start to get in at their target prices and buying back those options for like 70-80% discount
>Algos are turned to buy a few days later
>Many stocks basically return not too far from where they were initially a few days or weeks ago.

rinse & repeat

If anyone was ever wondering how Goldman Sachs and others are making record trading profits.


Yup. A lot of puts to hedge going on right now. We are likely in for pain until end of September then I believe funds will transition as their shorts are a losing position.
Member
Posts: 53,368
Joined: Sep 2 2004
Gold: 57.00
May 4 2021 08:55am
Quote (ofthevoid @ 4 May 2021 10:50)
>Wall street MMs sell call options
>Wall Street crooks set algos to sell.
>Stocks are being dumped by these institutions
>Options get slaughtered
>Same people start to get in at their target prices and buying back those options for like 70-80% discount
>Algos are turned to buy a few days later
>Many stocks basically return not too far from where they were initially a few days or weeks ago.

rinse & repeat

If anyone was ever wondering how Goldman Sachs and others are making record trading profits.



sounds about right. and these crooks still manage to mess up badly and wreck the stock market every 10 years or so even with rigged playing fields
Member
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Gold: 34.51
May 4 2021 09:07am
Further increased my position in Riocan this morning after listening to the earnings call. Still high rent collections and commercial spaces have been replaced in many units with higher paying tenants. Canadian CERS program continues to supplement rent for those businesses that are closed so even if they cant pay the money legally goes to the landlord from the Gov't of Canada.

On a side note this last month of investing has been weak. Rescued a dog so that had some cost. The dog is not long haired and i live in a cold spot so I ended up constructing a large sledbox, tent frame for a large canvas 7x9 tent and now an ATV box all so I can keep this damn thing warm. A piece of 2x4x8 now costs 20 dollars here.... Plywood 150 for 3/8ths. Dog food is also 140 dollars per 30lb bag of Pedigree dog food and shes going to be 85 lbs. Oh well, worth.

This post was edited by SBD on May 4 2021 09:10am
Member
Posts: 36,937
Joined: Oct 20 2007
Gold: 48,650.00
May 4 2021 09:12am
Quote (SBD @ May 4 2021 11:07am)
Further increased my position in Riocan this morning after listening to the earnings call. Still high rent collections and commercial spaces have been replaced in many units with higher paying tenants. Canadian CERS program continues to supplement rent for those businesses that are closed so even if they cant pay the money legally goes to the landlord from the Gov't of Canada.

On a side note this last month of investing has been weak. Rescued a dog so that had some cost. The dog is not long haired and i live in a cold spot so I ended up constructing a large sledbox, tent frame for a large canvas 7x9 tent and now an ATV box all so I can keep this damn thing warm. A piece of 2x4x8 now costs 20 dollars here.... Plywood 150 for 3/8ths. Dog food is also 140 dollars per 30lb bag of Pedigree dog food and shes going to be 85 lbs. Oh well, worth.


you dare mention a new doggo without posting a pic
Member
Posts: 29,008
Joined: Jun 20 2007
Gold: 34.51
May 4 2021 09:16am
Quote (S3th @ May 4 2021 09:12am)
you dare mention a new doggo without posting a pic


https://imgbb.com/[/url]

Left to die since its not a northern dog and people dont share the same feelings over dogs here, so they just let them freeze to death since its easier to dispose of a frozen dog.

This one tugged my heart strings.

This post was edited by SBD on May 4 2021 09:21am
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