Quote (ofthevoid @ Mar 17 2021 02:25pm)
I’ve been selling since last week. Stimulus money printing is about to stop so not sure how much longer the momentum assets like BTC will continue to spike higher.
I’ll still keep some, but I really don’t think we will see a move in btc like the one from 7k to 50k. It could go up but gains are limited at this price now. Like what’s an optimistic 2021 target? 100k?
optimistic is for sure like 100k, that's what all the youtube "experts" are citing.
i think more realistically we're going to see an 80k price in the next 2 months then bear market sooner than they're forecasting. this bull market is just overextended. stimmy checks, hype, and Elon/TSLA have kept it afloat.
from this point its largely algorithm driven from big institutions, they'll keep up this long term creep for a few more months IMO then start divesting into cash while guppies chew off their stacks.
then we see a dip to 30k in short order, they rebuy, and the retailers slow push it back up over 1.5 years or so. my theory is the farther we extend into bull season the more we're chewing away at bear season too. it might be a short bear season before the whales start pumping their low buy ins again.
in any case: tl;dr, im moving at least 50% into cash at 65k BTC price for the next low, and if we get to 80k im out. period. until bear season is into full effect. maybe ill start rebuying at 40k on the way down.