Quote (TheOnlyDenny @ 6 Dec 2022 13:03)
Just a rough estimate that might help: Talking about a Ber Rune, the chance to see one drop from a knight or a pit lord is close to 1:400,000 and is about 1:100,000 from a wraith (assuming a full party).
Let's assume we have an average Ber rune drop chance of 1:200,000 from a regular monster. Now how many monsters are there in the CS? Around 300 maybe?
So it would approximately take 200,000/300 = 666 runs (what a coincidence!) to find one (again, on average).
Drop chances for champions and super uniques don't differ by a lot and won't have a significant impact on the numbers.
Now there's not just Ber. Taking into account any rune starting from Vex I would say the avg amount of runs per HR goes down to something in the range of maybe 150 to 250 (I didn't do the exact math though).
If you take 3-5 minutes to clear the CS completely and play a lot, you could expect to find one HR every 1-2 days.
It's crazy when you put the actually numbers down to read.