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Mar 31 2009 03:52pm
Quote (coolbreeze @ Tue, Mar 31 2009, 04:43pm)
Actually, the odds of hitting a Royal Flush  is 1/649,739 but ya, it is done all the time. However, for every one that you get, there is mathematically 649,738 rounds that one does not happen. The same would hold true mathematically for MQ pass/fails
There should be 124,415 times that going 5/5 was failed.  We might be getting close to that number  wink.gif


Does it matter also that he's NEVER failed? I mean, if natester went 5:5, I'd view it as statistically more likely, since he's had a bunch of fails in a row as well.

Also, someone who is good in math, please tell me how many fails on feeder it would take to statistically equate to this feat (someone told me he thinks it's 70-something).

As to rick, per my PM, going 4:4 in season 1 with 3 doors just isnt the same as this.
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Mar 31 2009 03:54pm
Quote (bcmcknight77 @ Tue, Mar 31 2009, 04:52pm)
Does it matter also that he's NEVER failed?  I mean, if natester went 5:5, I'd view it as statistically more likely, since he's had a bunch of fails in a row as well.

Also, someone who is good in math, please tell me how many fails on feeder it would take to statistically equate to this feat (someone told me he thinks it's 70-something).

As to rick, per my PM, going 4:4 in season 1 with 3 doors just isnt the same as this.


No it would be the same thing.

if nate passed 5/5 would you be mad? is he more deserving? is that what this is about?
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Mar 31 2009 03:55pm
I've done 91 MQs and still never played ninja.

He has done 5 MQs and is already playing Warlock

laugh.gif
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Mar 31 2009 03:55pm
Quote (bcmcknight77 @ Tue, 31 Mar 2009, 17:52)
Does it matter also that he's NEVER failed?  I mean, if natester went 5:5, I'd view it as statistically more likely, since he's had a bunch of fails in a row as well.

Also, someone who is good in math, please tell me how many fails on feeder it would take to statistically equate to this feat (someone told me he thinks it's 70-something).

As to rick, per my PM, going 4:4 in season 1 with 3 doors just isnt the same as this.


Passing 7 three door masterquests in a row: 1 in 279,936.

Thats the closest you are going to get.

Gz Cambovenzi bier.gif
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Mar 31 2009 03:56pm
Quote (bcmcknight77 @ Tue, Mar 31 2009, 06:52pm)
Does it matter also that he's NEVER failed? I mean, if natester went 5:5, I'd view it as statistically more likely, since he's had a bunch of fails in a row as well.

Also, someone who is good in math, please tell me how many fails on feeder it would take to statistically equate to this feat (someone told me he thinks it's 70-something).

As to rick, per my PM, going 4:4 in season 1 with 3 doors just isnt the same as this.


it's EXACTLY the same -- luck is luck -- be it 3 doors or 3 thousand

I explained to you how the door sequence is created -- Cannot be hacked
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Mar 31 2009 03:56pm
My passr8 2/50 with heaavy char (after 130k kills in this season still paladin) lol... and he after5mq's & warlock? O.o


But grats anyway ofc. smile.gif
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Mar 31 2009 03:58pm
Quote (bcmcknight77 @ Tue, Mar 31 2009, 03:52pm)
Does it matter also that he's NEVER failed? I mean, if natester went 5:5, I'd view it as statistically more likely, since he's had a bunch of fails in a row as well.

Also, someone who is good in math, please tell me how many fails on feeder it would take to statistically equate to this feat (someone told me he thinks it's 70-something).

As to rick, per my PM, going 4:4 in season 1 with 3 doors just isnt the same as this.


cry3.gif
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Mar 31 2009 04:00pm
Quote (MyAddiction @ Tue, Mar 31 2009, 04:55pm)
Passing 7 three door masterquests in a row: 1 in 279,936.

Thats the closest you are going to get.

Gz Cambovenzi bier.gif


Not what I meant, but sounds like you know your math enough to figure it out. I mean, there's a 1:6 chance to pass 3 door. Jaykwik failed 42 or something. What was the odds of NOT passing in 42 attempts. I'll feel better if it's remotely close to 1:124k.
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Mar 31 2009 04:00pm
Quote (bcmcknight77 @ Tue, Mar 31 2009, 09:52pm)
Does it matter also that he's NEVER failed? I mean, if natester went 5:5, I'd view it as statistically more likely, since he's had a bunch of fails in a row as well.

Also, someone who is good in math, please tell me how many fails on feeder it would take to statistically equate to this feat (someone told me he thinks it's 70-something).

As to rick, per my PM, going 4:4 in season 1 with 3 doors just isnt the same as this.



Well, I see what you are getting at, however, take for instance a person who has never gambled in their entire life of 50 years goes to Vegas and puts $3 into a slot machine and wins for millions against a person who gambled every day of their life for the past 30 years and never won more than $5,000.00. You can equate the odds for that one person for or against it happening. However, when doing whether this is possible versus the number of total attempts, it doesn't matter who has the 5/5. On the surface its more unlikely but when looking at odds, its all about luck/timing for who gets the win.



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Mar 31 2009 04:04pm
omg omg omg gz.
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