Quote (moutonguerrier @ Dec 11 2020 02:21pm)
Which part is inaccurate?
I'd say about the entirety of it. You are correct that with proper knowledge, you can get a ROUGH idea of who is loading and for around which price. That's about the only accurate part of your statement. But how do warrants play? Are all warrants the same? How does the double tax law work? What is the dilution when they can self serve shares through that loophole WITHOUT SHAREHOLDER APPROVAL? And it doesn't just have to be penny stocks in the form of cap although majority under 10m cap will pump heavy just to get compliance off their back. What is their upcoming catalyst? Do they have a history of repeating? Is a pattern forming? 2018 weekly charts doing the same thing in 2020? With proper structure, you can be far ahead of the game.
You can't predict a day of run everytime, since not all stocks have the same structure. Some file effectiveness and don't run for weeks, some file it and run within a week. You most certainly can perform DD on pennies regardless of float, and pump and dumps are the name of the game in pennies. The legit ones break through, NNDM good example. Notice the uptrend after TONS of offerings? SAVA? These are legit companies as of breaking into bigger realms. I can name tons of penny companies I have secured big profits on based off files alone. Where will they go? Who cares, won't be in by the time it drops. I can also name ones I took a loss on, because I had firm cut points and didn't run within the time frame I gave it credit for. Is that because DD is impossible, or because I didn't trade it correctly?