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Jan 13 2019 05:40pm
I lost a good 14 or 15 in a row one time. It happens often.
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Jan 13 2019 05:40pm
Quote (ufGlenn @ Jan 13 2019 06:35pm)
yes, if youre looking at isolated events. i was referring to a series of 4 events all going the same way. to put it in perspective, if you were to do 100 series of 4 stakes, in 6 of them you would lose all 4. In the other 94 you wouldnt. How can you still say that its 50/50 that you lose all 4 stakes if you look at a series of 4 stakes.... everything is say is obviously based on statistics so it can still be different in reality..


No one said that. You're combining the isolated event with the series. You can't just turn to the series when you've lost your 4, thus ignoring all previous events. I mean you';re either loaded, and have a nobel prize or you're cleaned and a moron.

e/ sit

This post was edited by chrisdude112 on Jan 13 2019 05:41pm
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Jan 13 2019 05:40pm
Quote (ufGlenn @ Jan 13 2019 04:40pm)
Its such a rs thing that youre not allowed to complain if there is someone who has worse luck... just because someone has worse luck doesnt make your luck good all of a sudden. It can still be bad as well.



Oh I know I had crap luck, then I chucked and won so I guess I got some rng on my side
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Jan 13 2019 05:46pm
Quote (chrisdude112 @ 14 Jan 2019 00:40)
No one said that. You're combining the isolated event with the series. You can't just turn to the series when you've lost your 4, thus ignoring all previous events. I mean you';re either loaded, and have a nobel prize or you're cleaned and a moron.

e/ sit


If i flip a coin four times now theres two things you can do afterwards. you look at the results factually or you calculate what the odds are of a certain result statistically. It doesnt matter what the actual results were in deciding what the odds are of a certain result. If you flip 10 coins its not very likely that it will be 50/50. Regardless of the results in the first 10 it is more likely that it will be around 50/50 when you flip 100000 coins. Thats the way i see it anyway.
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Jan 13 2019 05:50pm
Quote (ufGlenn @ Jan 13 2019 06:46pm)
If i flip a coin four times now theres two things you can do afterwards. you look at the results factually or you calculate what the odds are of a certain result statistically. It doesnt matter what the actual results were in deciding what the odds are of a certain result. If you flip 10 coins its not very likely that it will be 50/50. Regardless of the results in the first 10 it is more likely that it will be around 50/50 when you flip 100000 coins. Thats the way i see it anyway.


I cba anymore. Glad you're rich and didnt quit your shit thread like you do everytime. Cant wait for the next adventure.
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Jan 13 2019 05:51pm
Quote (chrisdude112 @ 14 Jan 2019 00:50)
I cba anymore. Glad you're rich and didnt quit your shit thread like you do everytime. Cant wait for the next adventure.


youre literally the only one still bringing it up and then you cba? maybe let it go then rofl
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Jan 13 2019 05:53pm
Quote (chrisdude112 @ Jan 13 2019 06:50pm)
I cba anymore. Glad you're rich and didnt quit your shit thread like you do everytime. Cant wait for the next adventure.


?????????????

He got cleaned I thought
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Jan 13 2019 05:53pm
Quote (ufGlenn @ Jan 13 2019 06:51pm)
youre literally the only one still bringing it up and then you cba? maybe let it go then rofl


Definitely not letting it go. I'm just doing shit new diaries so I have down time to flame.

Quote (Semptra @ Jan 13 2019 06:53pm)
?????????????

He got cleaned I thought


was sarcasm my dearest nevil <3 He is cleaned, wrong and poor.

This post was edited by chrisdude112 on Jan 13 2019 05:54pm
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Jan 13 2019 05:56pm
Quote (ufGlenn @ Jan 14 2019 12:30am)
Alright ill post it here then. When i lost 4 stakes in a row i complained about being unlucky. For some reason single digit iqs like chris decided that with me saying that i meant that i had more than 50% chance to win the next stake. Which i dont think and have never thought. For reference, the odds of losing 4 stakes in a row are 0,5x0,5x0,5x0,5 so about 6.25% chance. In my opinion that low of a percentage makes it an unlucky event. If i were to win 4 stakes in a row i would class it as luck..


this is very true

what is this fight about exactly

Quote (ufGlenn @ Jan 14 2019 12:46am)
If i flip a coin four times now theres two things you can do afterwards. you look at the results factually or you calculate what the odds are of a certain result statistically. It doesnt matter what the actual results were in deciding what the odds are of a certain result. If you flip 10 coins its not very likely that it will be 50/50. Regardless of the results in the first 10 it is more likely that it will be around 50/50 when you flip 100000 coins. Thats the way i see it anyway.


this is not just how you see it, this is actually how statistics work

This post was edited by redbarred on Jan 13 2019 05:57pm
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Jan 13 2019 05:56pm
Quote (chrisdude112 @ Jan 13 2019 06:53pm)
Definitely not letting it go. I'm just doing shit new diaries so I have down time to flame.



was sarcasm my dearest nevil <3 He is cleaned, wrong and poor.


OOF lol
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