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Nov 22 2018 12:48pm
Quote (Exemplary @ Nov 22 2018 02:22pm)
He knows that. Hes not saying he has better luck. Hes simply saying the chances for 5 heads/tails in a row in a coin flip is low. the coin flip it's self is still 50/50.


His exact quote:
"its not a matter of thinking its unlucky, factually speaking its unlucky. The odds of that happening are 0,5^4. Im not saying there arent people that are more unlucky or more lucky, but losing 4 in a row is unlucky."

So, no he didn't say that at all, you did. The chances of losing 4x in a row is not "lucky" or "unlucky" when you're talking about stakes that are isolated from one another. One can argue statistics and odds all you want but it's literally that simple.

/e Fucking rip, meant to edit last post, not to bump the convo.

This post was edited by Semptra on Nov 22 2018 12:49pm
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Nov 22 2018 12:49pm
Quote (Semptra @ 22 Nov 2018 19:48)
His exact quote:
"its not a matter of thinking its unlucky, factually speaking its unlucky. The odds of that happening are 0,5^4. Im not saying there arent people that are more unlucky or more lucky, but losing 4 in a row is unlucky."

So, no he didn't say that at all, you did. The chances of losing 4x in a row is not "lucky" or "unlucky" when you're talking about stakes that are isolated from one another. One can argue statistics and odds all you want but it's literally that simple.

/e Fucking rip, meant to edit last post, not to bump the convo.


thats the whole point, im not talking about an isolated stake, i was referring to the 4 together
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Nov 22 2018 01:49pm
Quote (ufGlenn @ Nov 22 2018 01:49pm)
thats the whole point, im not talking about an isolated stake, i was referring to the 4 together



So I flip a coin and it’s heads 3x in a row, do you think the next flip is weighted towards tails?
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Nov 22 2018 01:49pm
Quote (chrisdude112 @ 22 Nov 2018 20:49)
So I flip a coin and it’s heads 3x in a row, do you think the next flip is weighted towards tails?


no its still 50/50 for the next...

but if i were to say to you flip 4 coins, do u think its more likely that it will be 4x heads or any other combination besides 4x heads?

This post was edited by ufGlenn on Nov 22 2018 01:50pm
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Nov 22 2018 01:51pm
Quote (ufGlenn @ Nov 22 2018 02:49pm)
no its still 50/50 for the next...

but if i were to say to you flip 4 coins, do u think its more likely that it will be 4x heads or any other combination besides 4x heads?



Go reread the two things you just typed. I’m done with this.
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Nov 22 2018 05:57pm


Dry streak gone xD (trio)

This post was edited by ufGlenn on Nov 22 2018 05:58pm
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Nov 24 2018 07:26am


Yay
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Nov 24 2018 07:29am
teach me raids
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Nov 24 2018 08:28am
Quote (Morot @ 24 Nov 2018 15:29)
teach me raids



Feel free to join :)
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Nov 24 2018 10:38am
Quote (SwaYy @ 24 Nov 2018 15:28)
Feel free to join :)



I did :) was fun!

Looking forward to doing more
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