Quote (D2RMark @ Dec 9 2022 11:35pm)
Technically you aren't even that dry. Based on binomial distrubitions the chance of receiving 1 or more items in 600 trials with a 1/500 success rate is 66.25%.
To get the 1/300 drop its a little dry with an 86.51% likelihood to have gotten the drop.
Theres a lot worse scenarios I've seen.
It's 5/500 your math is wrong
Cumulative probability: P(X>1) = 0.98302
This post was edited by JP99 on Dec 14 2022 02:10am