There's no formula for 12 win arenas.. sorry

@ilyria - Great books. Since then I've really gotten into Brandon Sanderson's work.

@FroggyG - You're right. I didn't think of this.

@Cambovenzi - Same as above, didn't account for this. If there is a fluctuation from your average win rate in arena across lower/higher brackets, this will in all cases lower your chances for reaching 12 wins. The larger the fluctuation of true win rate for say when you're at 11 wins vs 0 wins, the larger the decrease in your chance of reaching 12 wins.

@Eternal_Amaranti - Considering fluctuating win rates, one could in theory make a formula that takes into account win rate @0 wins, 1 wins, 2 wins... 1wins etc, but it would be practically useless. And I'm not gonna bother with that.

This post was edited by Dragon_Reborn on Oct 15 2015 05:37am

Yeah I just added the guy and I'm seeing "Owntpwnt started an arena match with 11 wins already!" All the time

I mean wtf

my decks hardly ever get 10

neverlucky

Consistent 11+ arena wins has a little more involved in it than just luck bb girl


Also,bring back the old ava

yeah Ikr

but I've never been offered those insane cards (and duplicates of them) and I ALWAYS have gold for arenas.

Old ava was betta?

It actually fit the name!

skill x rng x rng = ?

anyways. the best of players can go infinite based on more rng factors (im talking about the prizes at this point) cuz sometimes u just get an extra pack instead of the gold u want
edit : you want to be average At Least 5.5 wins

This post was edited by Quadpvp on Oct 15 2015 03:00pm

I have been there at least 50 times
you just do it

Maybe just express it as a power series? I don't know how mathematically inclined you are, but I feel like that would be the easiest way.

Is that the shit you use to find unsolvable equations? Think I learned that in Calculus but.. brain dump

I still don't think it can apply to a game such as this. There are just WAY too many variables..

This post was edited by Eternal_Amaranth on Oct 15 2015 09:01pm