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Member
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Joined: May 15 2006
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May 23 2015 05:36pm
Quote (Pinecones @ May 23 2015 06:30pm)
Proofs are him constantly showing up in the bottom left corner of my screen "mikol is entering an arena match and already has 9 wins!" I see it at least once every two days


I actually did my math wrong (I am a professor of mathematics and I did it wrong :P )

I average 6.2 lol
Member
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May 23 2015 06:17pm
arent these statistics skewed because the math of it is under the assumption that no additional players are being added to the pool and thats its playing out like a tourney style rounds?, .65 is roughly 1 in every 200 people (im too lazy to math it) but does someone go to 12 wins every 200 players that join arena? because you can get ranked against players that are a win ahead or below you. and against players who joined before or after you?

i could be completely wrong.?
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May 23 2015 06:26pm
Quote (Mikol @ 23 May 2015 19:36)
I actually did my math wrong (I am a professor of mathematics and I did it wrong :P )

I average 6.2 lol



In two topics in one day you fail basic math
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May 23 2015 06:39pm
Quote (Mikol @ May 23 2015 06:36pm)
I actually did my math wrong (I am a professor of mathematics and I did it wrong :P )

I average 6.2 lol


do people even understand the huuuge difference there is between averaging 6.2 and 8.x?

thats like saying 'my avg in college was 85% , mom was proud'


'oh wait actually i had 62% sorry mom'

what i actually mean is that past like 5.5-6win every 0.5 of average gain is a huge thing... theres a huge difference between 6 avg and 8 avg and even more between 8 and 10 avg (i dont think any one so far has 10avg, not even trump or kripp or ratsmah or whoever else plays arena competitively...)

if i remember correcly even trump has an average of under 8 or barely 8

value boys

kind of remind me of a guy on twitch i saw a couple of months ago, he was saying he average 8 orsomething but almost half of the time he made an arena deck he just scraped it and paid another 2$ to make another one if the deck didnt seem good enought, and ofcourse didn't count that as a 0-3 lel

This post was edited by NumbSouls on May 23 2015 06:44pm
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May 23 2015 07:00pm
Quote (NumbSouls @ May 23 2015 07:39pm)
do people even understand the huuuge difference there is between averaging 6.2 and 8.x?

thats like saying 'my avg in college was 85% , mom was proud'


'oh wait actually i had 62% sorry mom'

what i actually mean is that past like 5.5-6win every 0.5 of average gain is a huge thing... theres a huge difference between 6 avg and 8 avg and even more between 8 and 10 avg (i dont think any one so far has 10avg, not even trump or kripp or ratsmah or whoever else plays arena competitively...)

if i remember correcly even trump has an average of under 8 or barely 8

value boys

kind of remind me of a guy on twitch i saw a couple of months ago, he was saying he average 8 orsomething but almost half of the time he made an arena deck he just scraped it and paid another 2$ to make another one if the deck didnt seem good enought, and ofcourse didn't count that as a 0-3 lel


I honestly don't understand the need to post a wall of text explaining the difference between 6.2 and 8.2 lol. But to each his own man. You do you.
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May 23 2015 07:35pm
Quote (Mikol @ May 23 2015 08:00pm)
I honestly don't understand the need to post a wall of text explaining the difference between 6.2 and 8.2 lol. But to each his own man. You do you.


i don't understand your need to brag you avg 8.2 when you actually don't

but each his own man, you do you
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May 23 2015 07:45pm
Quote (NumbSouls @ May 23 2015 08:35pm)
i don't understand your need to brag you avg 8.2 when you actually don't

but each his own man, you do you


How is me asking if the chart is correct then saying that I got 8.2, then admitting that I actually did my math wrong when calculating a win % based off of the principle variable revolving around a 3 loss constant me bragging?

I have no need to brag about anything. You getting offended by me stating that I had an 8.2 win rate kinda shows your true form and it is rather sad. I actually feed sorry for you.
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May 23 2015 08:36pm
Quote (LP_Soldier @ May 23 2015 11:49am)
0.65% of people would get 12 wins
1.12% of people would get 11+ wins
1.93% of people would get 10+ wins
3.27% of people would get 9+ wins
5.47% of people would get 8+ wins
8.98% of people would get 7+ wins
14.45% of people would get 6+ wins
22.66% of people would get 5+ wins
34.38% of people would get 4+ wins
50% of people would get 3+ wins
68.75% of people would get 2+ wins
87.5% of people would get at least 1 win
12.5% of people would go 0-3

source: http://www.reddit.com/r/hearthstone/comments/1wyjn4/how_hard_is_the_arena_the_answer_with_math_tm/


Basing on this statistic you are already a really good player if you average like 5 wins (means where you have bad days with 3 wins/good days 7 higher)...
my best was 8-9 wins and iam proud of it, average like ~4.5 wins

edit: In Term of playing infinite Arena you have to reech 7 win always, for me impossible,
too many uncontrollable variables like drafting, start hand, class opponent etc.. i watch many streamers even the best suffer after 6 hours playing


Lol is this true, I rarely play Arena and I've gotten like 6 arena 12 wins, I must be exceptional.
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May 24 2015 03:49am
Quote (pnutz @ May 24 2015 03:36am)
Lol is this true, I rarely play Arena and I've gotten like 6 arena 12 wins, I must be exceptional.


its rly hard to play/win arena on eu, especially +7, you might try it and tell me if there are difference

edit: but it also depent on time... mostly play +10 pm, so i meet many adults and iam 100% sure asian server most hardest...

This post was edited by LP_Soldier on May 24 2015 04:09am
Member
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May 24 2015 06:04am
Quote (LP_Soldier @ May 24 2015 04:49am)
its rly hard to play/win arena on eu, especially +7, you might try it and tell me if there are difference

edit: but it also depent on time... mostly play +10 pm, so i meet many adults and iam 100% sure asian server most hardest...


actually very early in the morning or late in night is good

people are tired or playing while eating before job etc ^^ lel
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