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Oct 14 2013 05:00am
Quote (brt2 @ Oct 14 2013 08:53pm)


OP already posted his thoughts in that topic and thought it deserved discussion on a non hitler mod forum. ty for your input though.
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Oct 14 2013 11:52am
Quote (Ferrite @ Oct 13 2013 11:17pm)
OUT


Haha! :wub:
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Oct 16 2013 07:41am
Quote (umade @ Oct 14 2013 12:22am)
He's at 3200 points. The ones capable of getting past him
  • 19  soO  Korea  2300
  • 20  ScarlettAmerica 2250 +300 2550
  • 21  HyuN  America 2200 +300 2500
  • 24  VortiX  Europe  2150
  • 30  Dear  Korea  1750 +500 2250

If we assume soO wins the WCS Korea finals, he'll be at 2800. He'll need to advance from his group at S3 finals to ecplise Naniwa.
If we assume Scarlett advances to from her group, she gets 300 more. If she makes the top 4, she'll get 250-750 more. For now, we assume she makes the top 8 and gets the 5th seed that means a spot at S3 finals. This also means another +500. She'll be at 3050. A third place finish in her group at S3 finals puts her ahead of Naniwa.
If we assume HyuN advances from his group, he gets 300 more. If he makes the top 4, he'll make 250-750 more. Lets assume he places 3rd/4th. We add 250 to him + 500 for his S3 spot. That puts him at 3250, ahead of Naniwa. Naniwa is now at 16th. This one is almost a given.
If we assume VortiX advances from his group in S3, he'll gell +500. For him to get past Naniwa, he needs to finish top 2. A 3rd/4th place would only give him 3150 points.
If we assume Dear wins the WCS Korea finals (it's him vs soO), he'll be at 2250 including his +500 from S3 finals. He'll need to place 3rd/4th at the S3 finals to ecplise Naniwa.

Likely scenarios
- HyuN gets a top 2 result at WCS America which nets him 3000. He gets at least third in his group at S3 finals - 3250 = he'll be ahead of Naniwa.
- soO gets finishes 2nd at WCS Korea, which nets him 2300. He advances him group, now at 2800. He wins his RO8 = now at 3300 = he'll be ahead of Naniwa.
- Scarlett gets a top 5 result in WCS America, which nets her 2550. She gets knocked out in RO8 in S3 finals, now at 3050 = she'll be behind Naniwa.
- VortiX gets past his group in S3 finals, which nets him 2650. He gets knocked out in RO4, now at 3150 = he'll be behind Naniwa.
- Dear wins WCS Korea, gets a top 4 result in S3 finals. This nets him 3250 = he'll be ahead of Naniwa.

I don't like my homeboy's chances of being at Blizzcon. :(


Scarlett is out.
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Oct 17 2013 12:04am
Quote (umade @ Oct 16 2013 11:41pm)
Scarlett is out.


HYUN TOO WTF THIS IS SO GOOD
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Oct 17 2013 03:04am
Quote (umade @ Oct 14 2013 12:22am)
He's at 3200 points. The ones capable of getting past him
  • 19  soO  Korea  2300
  • 20  ScarlettAmerica 2250 +300 2550
  • 21  HyuN  America 2200 +300 2500
  • 24  VortiX  Europe  2150
  • 30  Dear  Korea  1750 +500 2250

If we assume soO wins the WCS Korea finals, he'll be at 2800. He'll need to advance from his group at S3 finals to ecplise Naniwa.
If we assume Scarlett advances to from her group, she gets 300 more. If she makes the top 4, she'll get 250-750 more. For now, we assume she makes the top 8 and gets the 5th seed that means a spot at S3 finals. This also means another +500. She'll be at 3050. A third place finish in her group at S3 finals puts her ahead of Naniwa.
If we assume HyuN advances from his group, he gets 300 more. If he makes the top 4, he'll make 250-750 more. Lets assume he places 3rd/4th. We add 250 to him + 500 for his S3 spot. That puts him at 3250, ahead of Naniwa. Naniwa is now at 16th. This one is almost a given.
If we assume VortiX advances from his group in S3, he'll gell +500. For him to get past Naniwa, he needs to finish top 2. A 3rd/4th place would only give him 3150 points.
If we assume Dear wins the WCS Korea finals (it's him vs soO), he'll be at 2250 including his +500 from S3 finals. He'll need to place 3rd/4th at the S3 finals to ecplise Naniwa.

Likely scenarios
- HyuN gets a top 2 result at WCS America which nets him 3000. He gets at least third in his group at S3 finals - 3250 = he'll be ahead of Naniwa.
- soO gets finishes 2nd at WCS Korea, which nets him 2300. He advances him group, now at 2800. He wins his RO8 = now at 3300 = he'll be ahead of Naniwa.
- Scarlett gets a top 5 result in WCS America, which nets her 2550. She gets knocked out in RO8 in S3 finals, now at 3050 = she'll be behind Naniwa.
- VortiX gets past his group in S3 finals, which nets him 2650. He gets knocked out in RO4, now at 3150 = he'll be behind Naniwa.
- Dear wins WCS Korea, gets a top 4 result in S3 finals. This nets him 3250 = he'll be ahead of Naniwa.

I don't like my homeboy's chances of being at Blizzcon. :(


Both HYUN AND SCARLETT THIRD IN GROUP
Now

If we assume VortiX advances from his group in S3, he'll gell +500. For him to get past Naniwa, he needs to finish top 2. A 3rd/4th place would only give him 3150 points.
If we assume Dear wins the WCS Korea finals (it's him vs soO), he'll be at 2250 including his +500 from S3 finals. He'll need to place 3rd/4th at the S3 finals to ecplise Naniwa.
If we assume soO wins the WCS Korea finals, he'll be at 2800. He'll need to advance from his group at S3 finals to ecplise Naniwa.
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Oct 17 2013 03:39am
Quote (umade @ Oct 17 2013 07:04pm)
Both HYUN AND SCARLETT THIRD IN GROUP
Now

If we assume VortiX advances from his group in S3, he'll gell +500. For him to get past Naniwa, he needs to finish top 2. A 3rd/4th place would only give him 3150 points.
If we assume Dear wins the WCS Korea finals (it's him vs soO), he'll be at 2250 including his +500 from S3 finals. He'll need to place 3rd/4th at the S3 finals to ecplise Naniwa.
If we assume soO wins the WCS Korea finals, he'll be at 2800. He'll need to advance from his group at S3 finals to ecplise Naniwa.


if vortix gets a place in s3 finals he gains points from that too so he will be ahead of nani if he hits top 4 automatically no? PLEASE DEAR KICK THE SHIT OUT OF SOO SO WE CAN HAVE NANI AT BLIZZCON
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Oct 17 2013 08:50am
Quote (Ferrite @ Oct 17 2013 11:39am)
if vortix gets a place in s3 finals he gains points from that too so he will be ahead of nani if he hits top 4 automatically no? PLEASE DEAR KICK THE SHIT OUT OF SOO SO WE CAN HAVE NANI AT BLIZZCON


VortiX currently has 2150 points, including 500 (the minimum he will get at S3 finals, say he places last in his group). So if he gets past his group, he will get 500 more (2650). If he wins in RO8, he gets 500 more (3150). Still behind Naniwa, meaning he needs to get the grand finals of S3 to make it to Blizzcon.
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Oct 17 2013 11:19am
Lol protoss..
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Oct 17 2013 11:55am
Quote (umade @ Oct 17 2013 03:50pm)
VortiX currently has 2150 points, including 500 (the minimum he will get at S3 finals, say he places last in his group). So if he gets past his group, he will get 500 more (2650). If he wins in RO8, he gets 500 more (3150). Still behind Naniwa, meaning he needs to get the grand finals of S3 to make it to Blizzcon.


vortix isnt the problem at all. There is no way he makes it
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Oct 17 2013 12:53pm
Quote (ownyaah @ Oct 17 2013 07:55pm)
vortix isnt the problem at all. There is no way he makes it


Only three players can leapfrog him now. Vortix is the biggest longshot, soO is the one most likely
However, for Naniwa to miss blizzcon, TWO guys out of THESE THREE need to leapfrog him
Only 1 can win Korea S3, not both meaning if soO wins, Dear needs a top 2 finish and Vortix needs a top 2 finish
so they need to meet in the finals for him to miss blizzcon if soO wins Korea S3 and gets out of his group
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