He's at 3200 points. The ones capable of getting past him
- 19 soO Korea 2300
- 20 ScarlettAmerica 2250 +300 2550
- 21 HyuN America 2200 +300 2500
- 24 VortiX Europe 2150
- 30 Dear Korea 1750 +500 2250
If we assume soO wins the WCS Korea finals, he'll be at 2800. He'll need to advance from his group at S3 finals to ecplise Naniwa.
If we assume Scarlett advances to from her group, she gets 300 more. If she makes the top 4, she'll get 250-750 more. For now, we assume she makes the top 8 and gets the 5th seed that means a spot at S3 finals. This also means another +500. She'll be at 3050. A third place finish in her group at S3 finals puts her ahead of Naniwa.
If we assume HyuN advances from his group, he gets 300 more. If he makes the top 4, he'll make 250-750 more. Lets assume he places 3rd/4th. We add 250 to him + 500 for his S3 spot. That puts him at 3250, ahead of Naniwa. Naniwa is now at 16th. This one is almost a given.
If we assume VortiX advances from his group in S3, he'll gell +500. For him to get past Naniwa, he needs to finish top 2. A 3rd/4th place would only give him 3150 points.
If we assume Dear wins the WCS Korea finals (it's him vs soO), he'll be at 2250 including his +500 from S3 finals. He'll need to place 3rd/4th at the S3 finals to ecplise Naniwa.
Likely scenarios
- HyuN gets a top 2 result at WCS America which nets him 3000. He gets at least third in his group at S3 finals - 3250 = he'll be ahead of Naniwa.
- soO gets finishes 2nd at WCS Korea, which nets him 2300. He advances him group, now at 2800. He wins his RO8 = now at 3300 = he'll be ahead of Naniwa.
- Scarlett gets a top 5 result in WCS America, which nets her 2550. She gets knocked out in RO8 in S3 finals, now at 3050 = she'll be behind Naniwa.
- VortiX gets past his group in S3 finals, which nets him 2650. He gets knocked out in RO4, now at 3150 = he'll be behind Naniwa.
- Dear wins WCS Korea, gets a top 4 result in S3 finals. This nets him 3250 = he'll be ahead of Naniwa.
I don't like my homeboy's chances of being at Blizzcon.
