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Feb 16 2013 11:48am
Quote (slushslush @ Feb 16 2013 11:47am)
what mount is it?


http://www.wowhead.com/item=50250/big-love-rocket

Quote (jagroen @ Feb 16 2013 11:48am)
It has a 3% drop rate, and you do it 750 times...its still 3%

its probability, 3% x 3% all the way up too 750 times

voniazmogis is talking about the probability % added, yes in "theory" it will eventually add up to 100% but the drop rate is a constant and does not change unless blizz changes the drop rate


Exactly, in theory, yes it will go up, but it's not the realistic drop chance, glad a few people in this SF understand.

This post was edited by iLuxxy on Feb 16 2013 11:50am
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Feb 16 2013 11:54am
Quote (iLuxxy @ Feb 16 2013 12:48pm)
http://www.wowhead.com/item=50250/big-love-rocket



Exactly, in theory, yes it will go up, but it's not the realistic drop chance, glad a few people in this SF understand.



why thank you.
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Feb 16 2013 01:23pm
strong law of large numbers?
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Feb 16 2013 01:48pm
Quote (iLuxxy @ Feb 16 2013 12:48pm)
http://www.wowhead.com/item=50250/big-love-rocket



Exactly, in theory, yes it will go up, but it's not the realistic drop chance, glad a few people in this SF understand.


Masters in mathematics here to help.

Lets see how I can put this in the simplest terms.

A coin has a 50% chance to land on either side. If we take your theory, you are saying there is a 50% chance to roll 1000 heads in a row? Please do not tell me you are that naive.
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Feb 16 2013 02:03pm
well this was a good read
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Feb 16 2013 02:05pm
Quote (Mikol @ Feb 16 2013 01:48pm)
Masters in mathematics here to help.

Lets see how I can put this in the simplest terms.

A coin has a 50% chance to land on either side. If we take your theory, you are saying there is a 50% chance to roll 1000 heads in a row? Please do not tell me you are that naive.


If that's what you got from this thread, I would suggest some reading comprehension, or possibly just staying in school, because you didn't learn much. ^_^

This post was edited by iLuxxy on Feb 16 2013 02:06pm
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Feb 16 2013 02:07pm
Quote (iLuxxy @ Feb 16 2013 03:05pm)
If that's what you got from this thread, I would suggest some reading comprehension, or possibly just staying in school.


No, you are saying that the % of a mount dropping never changes depending on how many attempts you have.

I asked you a question that you just avoided.

I shall ask it in smaller words so that you can understand it I guess.

If you flip a coin 10 times, what is the chance of every flip being heads? According to you, it is 50%.

Which is wrong...

I'm done with you lol, just looked at your profile and you put this thread in it with the title "Stoked slammed", when you are clearly wrong lol.

This post was edited by Mikol on Feb 16 2013 02:09pm
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Feb 16 2013 02:09pm
Quote (Mikol @ Feb 16 2013 02:07pm)
No, you are saying that the % of a mount dropping never changes depending on how many attempts you have.

I asked you a question that you just avoided.

I shall ask it in smaller words so that you can understand it I guess.

If you flip a coin 10 times, what is the chance of every flip being heads? According to you, it is 50%.

Which is wrong...


No i didn't avoid it.

If you flip a coin 9 times, and all 9 were heads, the 10th flip, is still 50/50 chance.
If you flip a coin and 7 times it's tails, 2 times it's heads, it's stil 50/50 chance.

And no, not according to me it's 50% for 10 flips, you're illiterate as fuck.

I'm expecting a dodge from a "masters in mathematics".

This post was edited by iLuxxy on Feb 16 2013 02:10pm
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Feb 16 2013 02:11pm
Quote (iLuxxy @ Feb 16 2013 03:09pm)
No i didn't avoid it.

If you flip a coin 9 times, and all 9 were heads, the 10th flip, is still 50/50 chance.
If you flip a coin and 7 times it's tails, 2 times it's heads, it's stil 50/50 chance.


You are premising your statistics on a single flip or in this case a single run.

Quote (Stok3d @ Feb 16 2013 10:44am)
I'm an electrical engineer irl and as a professional I will state that I am correct.  ;)

I'll provide simply the answer to you for free: 
=1-(1-0.0003)^750
=20.1511%

I charge to explain these basic concepts to ppl such as you.  Before you make yourself look worse, I'll save you the time--I'm right.


He prefaced his statistics on a set of 750 runs.

You need to improve your reading comprehension.
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Feb 16 2013 02:12pm
Quote (Mikol @ Feb 16 2013 02:11pm)
You are premising your statistics on a single flip or in this case a single run.



He prefaced his statistics on a set of 750 runs.

You need to improve your reading comprehension.


It doesn't matter how many times you do it.
Each time it's 0.03% chance to drop.

Retard. :rofl:
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