If you can lower your mf, and speed up your run by say 5 seconds, then every 3 games you would run, now you run 4.
If you were running 20 sec runs, and went to 15 seconds, then over 20,000 runs, you would do 5,300 more runs - thats alot of runs.
When you figure in that more MF = diminishing returns, More runs = incremental returns. (IE 2x the runs, 2x the stuff, 10x the runs, 10x the stuff) So time always gives a return in proportion to what you put into it (or dont in this case)
You also have to consider that you can only get a unique when that item is going to be dropped, say a Hydra Bow, that is when MF kicks in... the more chances you get at that Hydra Bow the better.
Odds of getting WF with No MF: 99342:1
Odds of getting WF with 450 : 28795:1
Odds of getting WF with 1100 : 24836:1
So, if you go from 450 mf, to 1100 mf (650 more MF) you have a 16% extra chance to find WF (for 250% increase in MF)
20 second runs, 1100 MF, you will find a WF in about 6 days (not counting game creation time, chickens, deaths, ect)
15 second runs, 450 MF, you will find a WF in about 5 days (again, not counting failures ect, though this build will be stronger due to less MF equipment, and more uber equipment generally and die less, but Im giving them both a 100% sucess rate here)
So having a 25% faster run time vs 2.5x the amount of mf, allows you to find WF about 17% faster, with LESS MF (1 day)
This is a great example of why MORE MF AND FEWER RUNS DO NOT PAY OFF!!! Diminishing returns hit you in the ass.
People never do any sort of statistical analyisis, and just assume that more mf is better, but dont realize that time is a bigger factor than MF after a certain point.
Anyone spouting supersitious nonsense about having a merc meaning you wont find anything, or having a certain amount of mf (149.23% mf is leet I swear) is just totally ignorant. Much research has been done on MF, both from players, and direct info from bliz. I laugh at anyone that belives something from someone who doesnt even know what they are talking about. Hell none of this info is mine - its just information that I have put together from other sources to illustrate my point from a factual basis.
Just because you flip a coin and it can only come out 2 ways, heads or tails, doesnt mean that in 1000 filps you will ever get tails. Its totally possible to get heads 1000 times.
This is why its called PROBABILITY and NOT CERTANTY.
The bottom line is even if your MF char runs with the same stability at 1100 MF as you would at 450mf, you are doing it alot slower, and the MF isnt doing as much for you - and you are actually finding less uniques over a period of time. (Most are not worried about set items - sets and rares do not have as large a diminishing returns with MF, but again, who is looking for set stuff generally?)
Some people are just superstitious fools, and take as fact any coincidence they see.
It would be like scratching your ass and flipping heads 10 times in a row. Conclusion? Scratching your ass makes the coin turn up heads. Sounds stupid doesnt it? You bet.
Here is the site I used to get the chance of pindle to drop WF:
clickyEDIT:
PS all this false crap about MF ect is the same way the Cow King mess got started. Go into a game, and announce that you are going to kill the king while in the party and see how fast everyone leaves the game - Ignore the fact that you have killed the king before, and your killing it will in no way effect anyone elses ability to make the cow portal. People take any coincidence as fact, and then even when proven wrong, wont admit it. With the way things work Rumor is taken as fact far far to often, and then it spreads, and the more it spreads the harder it is to counter.
This post was edited by Gshock on Feb 13 2003 10:29pm