Let me try word this in a way you hopefully understand.

Knowing the probability and chance of getting something, does not mean you are guaranteed the same result.

You cannot calculate luck. Therefore, if the probability of getting something is too low, knowing the chance does nothing for you if luck does not favour you. Now let's end this discussion here.

I am very well aware of this, thank you for explaining tho. I am not saying that if you do 928 tries in the forge you are guaranteed to get a precursor. Knowing the probability of getting somethign is still very helpfull tho.

the chart has valuable data. if you know how RNG works, then you know it works within a certain range of numbers, and figuring out what that range of numbers entails is hardly worthless.

Never said anything about a data being valuable or not in any form.

Knowing the probability of acquiring something as a drop/forge/craft/or whatever surely helps one decide if they wish to try their luck with something or not. However, as aforementioned, it does not guarantee anything for anyone.

Also, when it comes to RNG, you can never have a definitive answer to the probability (only a relative approximation based on your own or multiple people's experience), unless the programmers/devs themselves tell you the numbers that are in play. The reason for this is simple. One person doing one of the tests will not get the exact same results as another person if their luck varies.

This post was edited by Kurow on Jan 7 2014 04:49pm

I just boguht GW2 and i may need a little help.... i got my ele to lvl 6 and i have everything done besides the main quest line that is a little too tuff for me atm.... anyone wanna come join me?

I may be up for some random story mode later tonight. Shoot me your ign and we'll figure something out.

check the guy's signature. He's waaaaaaay ahead of you.