Quote (Plaguelord @ Nov 10 2023 08:35am)
Where evidence
Every game bet whether its NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, etc there's a good chance the public leaning loses
If there's a game where the underdog has +500 on the moneyline, and the majority of the public is betting on the favorite to win on the moneyline or with the spread, most of the time the underdog will cover the spread but the favorite wins
In the case where the favorite has too much money on them, the underdog tends to win
Or in the case where the game is more or less a coin flip, wherever the money goes typically that side will lose
It isn't fool proof because Vegas allows the squares to win occasionally, they have to give the gambling addicts a few dopamine hits to strengthen the illusion
In example, following the gambling action on the Pistons vs Bucks game that happened recently, the majority of the public's money was on Bucks to cover 12.5 pts. The Bucks won by 2 so Vegas won all the money on the Bucks spread while also avoiding paying out any juice to the people that bet on Pistons moneyline. This is the dream scenario for Vegas which plays out frequently
This post was edited by MildSambal on Nov 10 2023 10:31am