Quote (Nede @ Nov 15 2020 07:52pm)
Can it work out? Yes of course but it takes some real special talent yo do it. You need consistency and hot fire from the QB all season long and you have to have the coaching philosophy that supports a heavy passing game even when it normally would get gamescripted out. it's very risky and the cons far outweigh the pros of this strategy. They can balance each other out but youre generally restricting the total amount of opportunities your WRs can receive. It is widely believed that opportunity on average will score points more consistently than talent. Of course there are the exceptions to this rule (genenerally the first round of a draft, which is why they are getting picked first). So basically the formula would go the higher the opportunities your team has the lower amount of upside you'll need to score enough to win.. And vice versa is also true. Talent leads to upside and the higher the upside you have on your team the lower the floor and generally lower opportunities. (Again there are exceptions to this rule). So with that formula in mind, the strategy to have two of the same WRs on your team to start completely contradicts that strategy. You lower your overall opportunity which lowers the floor but the strategy also caps your upside at the same time. Can you win with it? Sure. Does it happen often enough where it works out and takes you to cashing out? No, theres much better strategies to follow that statistically leads to cashing out at a higher %. NOTHING IN FANTASY IS GUARANTEED SO PLAYING THE RIGHT ODDS AND PERCENTAGES IS PARAMOUNT TO SUCESS LIKE IN ANY OTHER TYPE OF BET GAME OR COMPETITION.
If Russell Wilson throws the ball on average 45 times a game and matcalf averages 12 targets and lockett 10 targets, whether they are both in your lineup in fantasy or not doesnt change that. You continue to talk about how it lowers your ceiling and I actually agree with that. Situationally though it doesn't lower your expectation of winning.
Obviously you aren't starting 2 wrs like landry and Higgins, but for the top duos in the league, you can play them all season long and see no decrease in your odds of winning on a weekly basis