Gil Brandt @Gil_Brandt
Good chance #Texans move down. Trade similar to Giants-Chargers trade, preaarnged to take Clowney for some other team.
3:40 PM - 22 Apr 2014
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Given Houston's need at the quarterback position, a trade down could give the club one of the draft's top quarterbacks later in the first round, plus additional picks to strengthen a roster that could also use help at the linebacker and right tackle positions. Who could be most interested? The Atlanta Falcons, for one, are bringing Clowney in for a visit Wednesday, and general manager Thomas Dimitroff spoke of a willingness to trade up at the NFL Scouting Combine.
That would be interesting because the Falcons have the 6th overall pick and would have to throw in several more picks as in their second, third and maybe next year's first-round pick just to make it a "can't pass up that type of trade offer" from the Texans perspective. I'm not sure if I like any trade scenario that doesn't involve us landing Jadeveon Clowney. He's too great of a player and freak of nature athletically to pass on.
Referring back to the 2014 NFL draft value chart...
http://www.draftcountdown.com/features/Value-Chart.phpThe Texans 1st overall pick is worth 3000 points. The Falcon's #6 pick is worth 1600. Their #37 pick in round two is worth 530. Their #68 pick is round three is worth 250. Anything after round three just isn't worth much. So that's 2380 which is still way shorter than 3000.
If the Falcons added their first-round pick in next year's 2015 draft - which I believe the Falcons will have a bounce back year and be a decent 10-6 type of team - we can just assume they'll end up with the 20th or 21st overall pick. Those are worth 800 to 850 points. So I guess add that to the 2380 and it's well over 3000. It would take that type of offer from the Falcons just to give the Texans a good trade.
TL:DR: I'm not buying any trade talk or even general manager Rick Smith liking Khalil Mack more than Jadeveon Clowney. The Houston Texans will use their first overall pick on Jadeveon Clowney or Johnny Manziel. Only 15 more days to deal with all of these rumors and opinions.