Quote (Horadric_Pube @ Dec 4 2023 09:15am)
Figure out your units, don’t cash out early and bet 1 unit per game. It should be a slow grind up not taking your entire bankroll and putting it on one bet.
I only bet with fg now because I can’t do what I stated above :bonk:
Cashing out early can be extremely profitable. You need to look at it like selling a stock when it's high. Mid-game Cashout has been a significant percentage of my earnings. You just need to know when to take the money and run.
For example:
As soon as Cleveland missed that extra point, I could see the writing on the wall. Flacco had been playing too good the whole day, and it was fine to bring things back down to earth. Sure enough, next drive, interception, and they lost 36-19. So you cash out at 10-1. Yes, turning $25 into $250 isnt as good as turning it into $425, but it's a hell of a lot better than turning it into $0.
Quote (Jayred @ Dec 4 2023 05:57pm)
Yup!
Alot of the best gamblers get lines before the lines move out of favor.
They actually get an edge over casual bettors.
Following injury news etc,
For example Panthers opened at +5.5-6 against the Bucs.
It closer around +3-4 instead. And guess what spread covered? Lol
Also to buy points it would be -145 instead of just -105 juice from catching the line early.
Stay away from parlays /teasers — they are losing bets in the long term so don’t consistently bet them.
Every so often you can get a few wins from them but the odds are way against you
Agreed that betting early can get you better spreads. Sometimes it's game-changing (Recent example, Bills +3.5 vs Eagles instead of +3 or +2.5)
Quote (straightedgerevenge @ Dec 4 2023 04:52pm)
Dont gamble what you can’t afford.
I suck ass at gambling and I can tell you that those $5 and $10 bets add up if you dont win.
This is very true. #1 rule is to not bet more than what you're willing to lose.
Sometimes it's better to make one bigger bet you're more confident about than twenty $5 longshots that all lose, lol.
Quote (MildSambal @ Dec 4 2023 04:01pm)
yep its like Blackjack, people get pissed when others at the table misplay a hand but its equally likely to help you as it is to hurt you
Helps even more in Poker
Quote (BillsMafia @ Dec 4 2023 02:16pm)
With real money, I much prefer live betting... like when you see the og spread of a fav that was -7 but at halftime that same team is now +3, etc... or when you see a team that was like like +3 shoot up to +20 etc... I'll usually drop a few dollars. Too many games end in the og vegas spreads, so usually live betting like that I've had better luck. I like betting around the half/ closer to end of 3rd quarter (to give the spread odds time to develop)
Agreed 100%. Live / Halftime spreads can really help you get favorable situations.
Quote (Jayred @ Dec 4 2023 03:56pm)
Bank roll management as others said,
Your goal is to be small profit over time,
Those that go for quick easy hit for larger are the ones who tilt and make bad decisions.
Over the span of time you’ll have to appreciate any bad officiating that actually helps you out also.
It all comes around and averages out
Frequency bias is only paying attention to bad beats/ bad officiating against you,
Next time be appreciative whenever you have a lucky bet pull through or when refs help you out because it does happen.
As said before bet smaller so your bets dont stress you out and tilt you.
Goal is long term betting at a non stressful unit small losses and small wins over time hopefully if you’re smart you’ll end up in the positive
Very very good advice. A successful week, month, season is much more important than one good bet. Consistency is key, and you have to stick to your method if you know it works rather than change it up after a few losses. This is hard to do, especially in poker, because every time, even if you're playing correctly, you are losing real money until it starts going in your favor. But don't be that guy who gives up right before he strikes gold. But never put all your eggs in one basket. There is always another game, another week (at least until there isn't.)
I would suggest treating it like a job. You need spreadsheets, preparation. Data analysis.
This was a relatively simple transition for me because I am a horseracing handicapper, so I am used to looking at past performances and crunching numbers and trying to come up with good methods.
Anyway, I feel like I am rambling - but suffice to say, "bet with your head, not over it" is not just some stupid catchphrase on these commercials, it's a real approach. And remember most people don't win. So don't be like most people.