I know, the line just looked so fishy..... it was free money to play KC..... not sure why the line was so low. Doesn't make any sense.

seen he posted these, gnna avoid his picks tonight and go with my gut

Made up for last week

Not even going to bet on tonight's game

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Panthers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings in New Orleans.
* Under is 7-1 in Saints last eight vs. NFC.

I've always wondered how much the pro cappers actually look into these types of numbers that are trying to bring relevance to games from 10+ years ago.

if you must ask

CAROLINA (9 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (9 - 3) - 12/8/2013, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CAROLINA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 50-25 ATS (+22.5 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 25-46 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

I'm aware. I've looked at those sites before - there's a handful that put the same range of stats up for every game. Was not my question though, more just a general statement than something I expect people here to be able to give an answer on.

vegas set it that way to attract us to the skins

Doubt any give it that much thought. I never did.




That doesn't even make any sense whatsoever. The line was 3.5. It was the most bs line ever..... KC vs the dreadful Redskins.

It was free money and I feel dumb.

This post was edited by xnozx. on Dec 8 2013 07:04pm

Every capper I follow put money on the skins.. why? Because how the line was set. People would have hammered KC - 5 or 6. KC -3 just looked unreal. Rule number 1: vegas knows all, they set the lines and it's unexplainable how damn close they get. If we believe this, which most cappers do, then we have to assume that Skins +3 meant that for some strange reason, RG3 and the skins would show up for a home game. Vegas set the line low to trick people into thinking that Skins had a chance.

I know BR needed it which meant that most of his guys played KC -3. But BR is just a small sample size. I'm sure that line threw off most cappers and baited them into Skins. Those cappers have followers. The line was just too unreal for most people to bite on KC. Vegas knows this..