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Dec 2 2013 05:52pm
Quote (Fluminense @ Dec 2 2013 06:35pm)
Seahawks are "unstoppable" at home.
Kids going ham.

Def taking the elite QB with +6


its +6 for a reason

and also, it reversed soooo gl with that
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Dec 2 2013 05:52pm
I did a little teaser (did it when the line was lower for both SEA and score):

SEA s/u, under 52.5
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Dec 2 2013 05:53pm
Quote (WesWelker @ Dec 2 2013 07:52pm)
its +6 for a reason

and also, it reversed soooo gl with that

because the home team always gives 3, so it's basically Hawks-3 which seems about right since they dominate at home..

This post was edited by Fluminense on Dec 2 2013 05:53pm
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Dec 2 2013 05:58pm
Quote (Fluminense @ Dec 2 2013 06:53pm)
because the home team always gives 3, so it's basically Hawks-3 which seems about right since they dominate at home..


Reverse line movement. Google it.
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Dec 2 2013 06:01pm
Quote (Crashnburn_819 @ Dec 2 2013 07:58pm)
Reverse line movement. Google it.

So everyone is taking the Saints
Im not goggling shit. Explain it if youd like

Regular line move, Seahawks-4.5 over Saints. Everyone betting on Seahawks so they make it -5.5, -6.5, etc and so on.
Reverse line, Seahawks-4.5 over Saints. Everyone taking the Seahawks, so they make it -3.5, -2.5, no.
imlost

This post was edited by Fluminense on Dec 2 2013 06:05pm
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Gold: 85.68
Dec 2 2013 06:14pm
Quote (Fluminense @ Dec 2 2013 08:01pm)
So everyone is taking the Saints
Im not goggling shit. Explain it if youd like

Regular line move, Seahawks-4.5 over Saints. Everyone betting on Seahawks so they make it -5.5, -6.5, etc and so on.
Reverse line, Seahawks-4.5 over Saints. Everyone taking the Seahawks, so they make it -3.5, -2.5, no.
imlost


No reverse line movement is pretty much vegas trying to fuck with us.

We see the line open up at Seattle -4, then it moves to- 5, then to -6. So now us being awesome bettors assume all the money is going on Seattle, because if everyones betting on NO why in the world would they want to attract more bettors?
But in reality all the money is going on the Saints and Vegas is just trying to act like it's all going on Seattle by moving the line in Saints favor.

This post was edited by Ritchey9 on Dec 2 2013 06:15pm
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Posts: 58,020
Joined: Dec 2 2006
Gold: 1.00
Dec 2 2013 06:17pm
Quote (Ritchey9 @ Dec 2 2013 08:14pm)
No reverse line movement is pretty much vegas trying to fuck with us.

We see the line open up at Seattle  -4, then it moves to- 5, then to -6. So now us being awesome bettors assume all the money is going on Seattle, because if everyones betting on NO why in the world would they want to attract more bettors?
But in reality all the money is going on the Saints and Vegas is just trying to act like it's all going on Seattle by moving the line in Saints favor.


Thanks to Vegas for giving me +1.5 more then.
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Dec 2 2013 06:27pm
Quote (Ritchey9 @ Dec 2 2013 07:14pm)
No reverse line movement is pretty much vegas trying to fuck with us.

We see the line open up at Seattle  -4, then it moves to- 5, then to -6. So now us being awesome bettors assume all the money is going on Seattle, because if everyones betting on NO why in the world would they want to attract more bettors?
But in reality all the money is going on the Saints and Vegas is just trying to act like it's all going on Seattle by moving the line in Saints favor.


umm.. no

the money is actually on saints+points

about 55-65% of people from 3 different books

so if everyone is buying saints+points, why are they getting another .5-1point extra?

reverse line movement is not the mean to an ends. its just something i look at and respect due to the it being an effective method of being on the correct side in the first place


heres some of my best tonight. thought they were funny as fuck

ticket#:11895742
Dec 02 05:45 PM
Dec 02 05:40 PM
Dec 02 05:40 PM Internet 12/02/2013 04:17 PM
NFL
NFL
NFL sp 3team fb10 - bk7 pts
[449] NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +16½-110 (B+10)
[44920] TOTAL U14½+110 (B+10)
(TOTAL QB SACKS MADE Vrs TOTAL QB SACKS MADE) (NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Vs SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - - Total QB Sacks In The Game)
[44921] TOTAL O2-130 (B+10)
(TOTAL PUNTS MADE Vrs TOTAL PUNTS MADE) (NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Vs SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - - Total Punts By Both Teams) 120.00 100.00
ticket#:11895878
Dec 02 05:45 PM
Dec 02 05:40 PM
Dec 02 05:40 PM Internet 12/02/2013 04:23 PM
NFL
NFL
NFL sp 3team fb10 - bk7 pts
[450] SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +3½-110 (B+10)
[44920] TOTAL U14½+110 (B+10)
(TOTAL QB SACKS MADE Vrs TOTAL QB SACKS MADE) (NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Vs SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - - Total QB Sacks In The Game)
[44922] TOTAL U18EV (B+10)
(TOTAL PUNTS MADE Vrs TOTAL PUNTS MADE) (NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Vs SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - - Total Punts By Both Teams) 60.00 50.0

ticket#:11893862
Dec 02 05:45 PM
Dec 02 05:40 PM
Dec 02 05:40 PM Internet 12/02/2013 03:33 PM
NFL
NFL
NFL sp 3team fb10 - bk7 pts
[450] SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +3½-110 (B+10)
[44920] TOTAL U14½+110 (B+10)
(TOTAL QB SACKS MADE Vrs TOTAL QB SACKS MADE) (NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Vs SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - - Total QB Sacks In The Game)
[44921] TOTAL O2-130 (B+10)
(TOTAL PUNTS MADE Vrs TOTAL PUNTS MADE) (NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Vs SEATTLE SEAHAWKS - - Total Punts By Both Teams) 120.00 100.00

ticket#:11885767
Dec 02 05:45 PM
Dec 01 05:30 PM
Dec 01 05:30 PM Internet 12/01/2013 05:29 PM
NFL
NFL
NFL sp 3team fb10 - bk7 pts
[449] NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +15-110 (B+10)
[44716] TOTAL U13½-145 (B+10)
(TOTAL FIELD GOALS MADE Vrs TOTAL FIELD GOALS MADE) (NEW YORK GIANTS Vs WASHINGTON REDSKINS - - Total Field Goals Made In The Game)
[44720] TOTAL U15-115 (B+10)
(TOTAL QB SACKS MADE Vrs TOTAL QB SACKS MADE) (NEW YORK GIANTS Vs WASHINGTON REDSKINS - - Total QB Sacks In The Game) 120.00 100.00

this one should be in the bag from last nights game

This post was edited by WesWelker on Dec 2 2013 06:35pm
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Dec 2 2013 06:34pm
Quote (WesWelker @ Dec 2 2013 08:27pm)
umm.. no

the money is actually on saints+points

about 55-65% of people from 3 different books

so if everyone is buying saints+points, why are they getting another .5-1point extra?

reverse line movement is not the mean to an ends. its just something i look at and respect due to the it being an effective method of being on the correct side in the first place


Isn't that what I said?
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Posts: 58,020
Joined: Dec 2 2006
Gold: 1.00
Dec 2 2013 06:36pm
Quote (WesWelker @ Dec 2 2013 08:27pm)
umm.. no

the money is actually on saints+points

about 55-65% of people from 3 different books

so if everyone is buying saints+points, why are they getting another .5-1point extra?

reverse line movement is not the mean to an ends. its just something i look at and respect due to the it being an effective method of being on the correct side in the first place

I think that's what he said lol, but I get it now.
Thanks guys

This post was edited by Fluminense on Dec 2 2013 06:36pm
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