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Dec 4 2023 01:16pm
With real money, I much prefer live betting... like when you see the og spread of a fav that was -7 but at halftime that same team is now +3, etc... or when you see a team that was like like +3 shoot up to +20 etc... I'll usually drop a few dollars. Too many games end in the og vegas spreads, so usually live betting like that I've had better luck. I like betting around the half/ closer to end of 3rd quarter (to give the spread odds time to develop)
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Dec 4 2023 01:24pm
You get over it fast. Bad call 2 plays earlier went the Chiefs way but because they lost it's not a big deal. Nixon was going for the ball and the ref missed something. MVS wasn't catching it anyways so who cares? Didn't change the game. What changed the game was the late hit call given to Mahomes when he was completely inbounds yet.
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Dec 4 2023 01:57pm
Quote (MildSambal @ Dec 4 2023 07:52am)
I used to bet like 20-30 times a week but have since only placed a bet once or twice a month unless I get credited free play

The games are absolutely scripted and jockeyed to skew more heavily towards Vegas when the public has action

The Chiefs had all the money on them by the public


If anyone truly believes this why aren't you fading the public and making bank?

The public has actually done very well this year in Nfl
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Dec 4 2023 02:16pm
Quote (Zero501 @ Dec 4 2023 01:57pm)
If anyone truly believes this why aren't you fading the public and making bank?

The public has actually done very well this year in Nfl


You know NBA refs have openly admitted to corruption related to gambling and ratings?

In fact Tim Donaghy even stood trial and pleaded guilty to betting on games he officiated in games 2003-04, 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07 seasons. He served 15 months in federal prison.

The NBA was exposed for fixing series' to favor ratings multiple times in the early 2000s. This stuff has been clearly exposed, people just don't want to see it so they sweep it under the rug and pretend WWE matches are real.

Also if we apply any speck of logic? Ain't no way rich people are standing idly by as literally billions of dollars flow through without their input on it. If you believe that you are very gullible.

This post was edited by MildSambal on Dec 4 2023 02:31pm
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Dec 4 2023 02:50pm
Quote (MildSambal @ Dec 4 2023 02:16pm)
You know NBA refs have openly admitted to corruption related to gambling and ratings?

In fact Tim Donaghy even stood trial and pleaded guilty to betting on games he officiated in games 2003-04, 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07 seasons. He served 15 months in federal prison.

The NBA was exposed for fixing series' to favor ratings multiple times in the early 2000s. This stuff has been clearly exposed, people just don't want to see it so they sweep it under the rug and pretend WWE matches are real.

Also if we apply any speck of logic? Ain't no way rich people are standing idly by as literally billions of dollars flow through without their input on it. If you believe that you are very gullible.


Donaghy was caught working with a huge betting syndicate point shaving and calling fouls on players to benefit his backers. It wasn't for the NBA. (even when he was doing this the syndicates' bets were still only a 75% winrate btw) I'm sure it is entirely possible for thatto be happening in the NFL, but not BY the NFL execs. You're already watching the game, and talking about it today. They have their money.

ETA: I don't know anything about the NBA being exposed for "X."

This post was edited by Zero501 on Dec 4 2023 02:52pm
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Dec 4 2023 02:56pm
Bank roll management as others said,

Your goal is to be small profit over time,

Those that go for quick easy hit for larger are the ones who tilt and make bad decisions.

Over the span of time you’ll have to appreciate any bad officiating that actually helps you out also.
It all comes around and averages out

Frequency bias is only paying attention to bad beats/ bad officiating against you,
Next time be appreciative whenever you have a lucky bet pull through or when refs help you out because it does happen.
As said before bet smaller so your bets dont stress you out and tilt you.
Goal is long term betting at a non stressful unit small losses and small wins over time hopefully if you’re smart you’ll end up in the positive
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Dec 4 2023 03:01pm
Quote (Jayred @ Dec 4 2023 02:56pm)
Bank roll management as others said,

Your goal is to be small profit over time,

Those that go for quick easy hit for larger are the ones who tilt and make bad decisions.

Over the span of time you’ll have to appreciate any bad officiating that actually helps you out also.
It all comes around and averages out

Frequency bias is only paying attention to bad beats/ bad officiating against you,
Next time be appreciative whenever you have a lucky bet pull through or when refs help you out because it does happen.
As said before bet smaller so your bets dont stress you out and tilt you.
Goal is long term betting at a non stressful unit small losses and small wins over time hopefully if you’re smart you’ll end up in the positive


yep its like Blackjack, people get pissed when others at the table misplay a hand but its equally likely to help you as it is to hurt you
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Dec 4 2023 03:10pm
Quote (Zero501 @ Dec 4 2023 02:50pm)
Donaghy was caught working with a huge betting syndicate point shaving and calling fouls on players to benefit his backers. It wasn't for the NBA. (even when he was doing this the syndicates' bets were still only a 75% winrate btw) I'm sure it is entirely possible for thatto be happening in the NFL, but not BY the NFL execs. You're already watching the game, and talking about it today. They have their money.

ETA: I don't know anything about the NBA being exposed for "X."


Gambling is an industry separate from execs that make their money based on TV ratings and ticket sales etc. Those execs definitely make deals with advertisers that wanna throw gambling in your face 50 times during the course of a game. Let’s also not be fooled by the notion that execs feel as tho they “have their money and that’s enough” lmao that is utterly ridiculous


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Dec 4 2023 03:19pm
Tilt is real
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Dec 4 2023 03:52pm
Dont gamble what you can’t afford.
I suck ass at gambling and I can tell you that those $5 and $10 bets add up if you dont win.
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