Quote (Falcon_A @ 28 Nov 2023 19:21)

Which is why I bet them +7.5
However I also bet Dobbs to get 175 yards (Which didn't seem unreasonable at the time) and over 27.5 points (Which also didn't seem unreasonable at the time)


Jets +21.5 and Bills +7.5 cashed a lot for me. Chargers +7.5 "should" have and Vikings +7.5 "should" have, but it's very obvious that sportsbooks needed to arrange things to go a certain way to make more money back, and this is an angle I need to track more often.
I do a lot better with NBA, surprisingly, considering I feel like I know a lot less about it. But Favorites who are supposed to win actually usually win (Except for the Pacers lmao)

Quote

According to Bet Labs, NFL moneyline favorites that were -115 or lower posted a record of 175-88-2 during the 2022 regular season. That’s a win percentage of 66.5%

Quote

How often do moneyline favorites win in NBA? Over the past five seasons, 67.25% of favorites have been successful in the NBA regular season.