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Jul 16 2019 03:09pm
Quote (GSG @ Jul 16 2019 01:32pm)
The two guys I see being the most likely to be moved are Kapanen or Johnsson because they are on ~$3.5M deals and that's approx what you'll need to get Marner his ~11M deal.

Right now, the Leafs have $3,765,301 in cap space, + 5.3M when Horton can be LTIR'd. It's possible with a couple guys sent down to the minors you could get the money freed up but right now they only have 13F/8D signed and the team would want to have at least 11F(+Marner)/7D travelling with the team. Sending those 2 guys down would only free up an additional ~$1.5M depending on who goes down (Total space would be right around 10.5 with the aforementioned moves).


True

Quote (remco6 @ Jul 16 2019 01:46pm)
I don’t see them moving either of the guys they just signed , those are much better value contracts than the nylander contract. And some cap hit would be coming back presumably. I see it being Nylander almost for certain with a 3-4 mil contract and pick coming .


I agree they are keepers though.
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Jul 16 2019 03:11pm
Quote (Nearin @ Jul 16 2019 02:13pm)
I dont want to go through it again, but if we sign him for 10m on a multi year how do we have any defense next season.

Not saying marner isnt a 10 mill player but 40m on nylander/matthew/tavares/marner seems to much $$$ in one place



The short simple answer is you have to shift some of the money spent up front to d, Nylander makes the most sense imo.

I know Dubios said he’s gonna keep his core of kids that where on elc, but once you signed Taveres anyone who could add knew that wasn’t realistic.
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Jul 16 2019 04:32pm
Quote (Secksii @ Jul 16 2019 12:22pm)
i can see a competitive team with capspace that easily would, since their 1st rounders wont be high but in the mid/high 20's.
Depending how long their window is to compete, it's basically giving up a single high 1st rd pick in their 4th year for a 10.5m player which is cheap af


20th-30th picks are producing some pretty high end players now imagine 4 of those you get 1 really deep draft or a guy who slides he could easily be = to marner+3 more players

in the cap era draft picks and good drafting is everything throwing away 4 1st rounders for 1 player you better have some solid drafting with those 2nd+ picks and be reaching at minimal conf finals for the next 4 seasons


honestly though without tavares marner is probably a 70ish point player like he was before idk if a 70 pt player is worth 4 first rounders when you got other options like laine conner rantanen boesser tkachuk konecny who would all likely cost a lot less
like really hes going to sign with the leafs nobody is going to offer sheet marner all the talk was probably to try and get the leafs to panic and trade away some younger guys teams wanted for dirt cheap who the fuck would pay that for marner

This post was edited by dragoneth on Jul 16 2019 04:33pm
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Jul 16 2019 04:51pm
Quote (dragoneth @ Jul 16 2019 04:32pm)
20th-30th picks are producing some pretty high end players now imagine 4 of those you get 1 really deep draft or a guy who slides he could easily be = to marner+3 more players

in the cap era draft picks and good drafting is everything throwing away 4 1st rounders for 1 player you better have some solid drafting with those 2nd+ picks and be reaching at minimal conf finals for the next 4 seasons


honestly though without tavares marner is probably a 70ish point player like he was before idk if a 70 pt player is worth 4 first rounders when you got other options like laine conner rantanen boesser tkachuk konecny who would all likely cost a lot less
like really hes going to sign with the leafs nobody is going to offer sheet marner all the talk was probably to try and get the leafs to panic and trade away some younger guys teams wanted for dirt cheap who the fuck would pay that for marner



The odds of getting a PPG + player in the 20-30 slots are low. In the last 10 years the only guy close to Marners level is Pasternak taken with a 20-30 pick.

Marner is a good player with who ever he plays with. Could just as easily argue JT wouldn’t have broken 40g for for the first time in his career and nearly hit 50 without Marner.

This post was edited by remco6 on Jul 16 2019 04:53pm
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Jul 16 2019 04:54pm
Quote (remco6 @ Jul 16 2019 04:51pm)
The odds of getting a PPG + player in the 20-30 slots are low. In the last 10 years the only guy close to Marners level is Pasternak taken with a 20-30 pick.



99 point Johnny 104th sup
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Jul 16 2019 05:03pm
Quote (StayPositive @ Jul 16 2019 04:54pm)
99 point Johnny 104th sup


I only included 20-30 picks for a reason. In the later rounds your just swinging for the park so ofc you connect once in a while and when you do it’s gone.

This post was edited by remco6 on Jul 16 2019 05:03pm
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Jul 16 2019 05:06pm
Quote (remco6 @ Jul 16 2019 06:51pm)
The odds of getting a PPG + player in the 20-30 slots are low. In the last 10 years the only guy close to Marners level is Pasternak taken with a 20-30 pick.


2010
kuznetsov
2014
pastrnak
2015
boesser
konecny
aho (35th)
2016
carter hart 36th

its not a matter of 1 player being marners level you have FOUR picks where you can get players like this vs 1 marner on your teams roster thats a fuck ton of depth vs 1 guy
and imo the drafts in the past like 5 years have looked much deeper then drafts 10 years ago players are living the pro athlete lifestyle in jrs not going through jrs like yay i like hockey then getting drafted and turning pro
were drafting guys in 2nd rounds that would look like sure cut 1st rounders 10 years ago the "deep draft" is becoming a yearly thing not once every 5-10 years
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Jul 16 2019 05:09pm
Quote (dragoneth @ Jul 16 2019 07:06pm)
2010
kuznetsov
2014
pastrnak
2015
boesser
konecny
aho (35th)
2016
carter hart 36th

its not a matter of 1 player being marners level you have FOUR picks where you can get players like this vs 1 marner on your teams roster thats a fuck ton of depth vs 1 guy
and imo the drafts in the past like 5 years have looked much deeper then drafts 10 years ago players are living the pro athlete lifestyle in jrs not going through jrs like yay i like hockey then getting drafted and turning pro
were drafting guys in 2nd rounds that would look like sure cut 1st rounders 10 years ago the "deep draft" is becoming a yearly thing not once every 5-10 years


Konecny and Hart.. Never change drago.
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Jul 16 2019 05:19pm
Quote (Twax @ Jul 16 2019 05:09pm)
Konecny and Hart.. Never change drago.



Lol , and none of the other guys are PPG players.
Lol @ kuznetsev compared to marner.
Yea I know you hit lightning in a bottle in late rounds occasionally.
The odds off replacing marner in one player with those 4 picks are low. The odds say you’d get a 20g scorer and 3rd line mucked or 2p d and 2 busts. Those are the realistic expected results based on the last 10-15 years of the entry draft.


Now if you traded those picks to a GM who likes to gamble then your onto something.

This post was edited by remco6 on Jul 16 2019 05:20pm
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Jul 16 2019 05:22pm
Quote (Twax @ Jul 16 2019 07:09pm)
Konecny and Hart.. Never change drago.


??
konecny is a 22 year old 25 goal 50 pt player sure hes not a 70ish pt player but hes not going to cost you 4 1st rounders and can play a top 6 role and put up points
and hart is looking like a legit #1 after being projected as a top prospect why would i not include him?

im not just putting them there because they are flyers players man lol

Quote (remco6 @ Jul 16 2019 07:19pm)
Lol , and none of the other guys are PPG players.
Lol @ kuznetsev compared to marner.
Yea I know you hit lightning in a bottle in late rounds occasionally.
The odds off replacing marner in one player with those 4 picks are low. The odds say you’d get a 20g scorer and 3rd line mucked or 2p d and 2 busts. Those are the realistic expected results based on the last 10-15 years of the entry draft.


Now if you traded those picks to a GM who likes to gamble then your onto something.



also when was marner ppg? when he got tavares who alone is a ppg player take away tavares and you dont have ppg marner imo

its like you guys totaly ignore the fact marner has a 61 and 69 pt season gets tavares and boom biggest season of his life and he just randomly developed into a 30 pt more player right tavares has absolutely nothing to do with that
yeah im sure tavares getting 47 goals had absolutely nothing to do with that like a scoring center like tavarse every team has a bunch of them right

This post was edited by dragoneth on Jul 16 2019 05:26pm
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