Quote (judson04 @ Mar 3 2015 01:19pm)

that's not the ONLY thing surely, right?

it's an auto-bid for the winner iirc? so you get some random team with a spark of chemistry play out of their minds like every year...

Quote (judson04 @ Mar 3 2015 03:21pm)

of course we all know it's gambling :) and we all know you're killing it like a boss, vegas watch out B)

i think gangbang was just saying be careful come tourny time, that's all <3

Quote (SheriffCool @ Mar 4 2015 03:25am)

I'm anxious to see how my system works for the tournament when teams get more evenly matched, right now I have been trying to find weakness in the numbers, but when the disparity gets to a minimum, I don't know how effective I will be at picking winners. Good thing I'm way ahead already so I won't go in the hole trying to find out.

Quote (judson04 @ Mar 3 2015 01:28pm)

I would err on the side of underdog +spreads. I think your system will be absolutely fine, maybe even better because homecourt isn't an advantage like Profar said. Your current system doesn't consider home court right? Your system might just be tailored for tournament play :thumbsup:

I would just say expect some favorites to not cover the spread. Of course vegas will know this tho, I have shitty lucky betting don't listen to me :( but I do know basketball and usually conference tournaments have a ton of close games, surprise upsets, and Cinderella stories.

Quote (judson04 @ Mar 3 2015 03:28pm)

I would err on the side of underdog +spreads. I think your system will be absolutely fine, maybe even better because homecourt isn't an advantage like Profar said. Your current system doesn't consider home court right? Your system might just be tailored for tournament play :thumbsup:

I would just say expect some favorites to not cover the spread. Of course vegas will know this tho, I have shitty lucky betting don't listen to me :( but I do know basketball and usually conference tournaments have a ton of close games, surprise upsets, and Cinderella stories.

Quote (SheriffCool @ Mar 3 2015 03:42pm)

Going with mostly home cooking today:
Western Michigan +1.5
Eastern Michigan -2
Central Michigan -3
Michigan +3
Auburn +5

Quote (Profar @ Mar 3 2015 05:46pm)

I took a look at that Eastern michigan game, It looks like the spread should be much higher but I saw EMU lost @ home to Ball state earlier in the year.

Wondering if the fact they lost the 1st meeting makes the spread so small.

What is your % on that one?

Quote (SheriffCool @ Mar 3 2015 03:48pm)

deceivingly high. They should rape by the numbers, close to 70%, but my high % seems to lose more than the mid 50's