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Nov 7 2021 10:00am
Quote (XEnvy @ Nov 7 2021 10:56am)
I’m assuming you didn’t retain the main theme so I’m not going to bother re explaining it further. Will continue posting though my aim was to help people from the start 👍


Instead of using your ABC's, you skipped to your XYZ's. Your statistical analysis doesnt use anything advanced, and is pretty much on par with how the average square makes their picks. I'm sure your live plays do alright though.
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Nov 7 2021 10:01am
Quote (Kimiko_tan @ Nov 7 2021 08:00am)
Instead of using your ABC's, you skipped to your XYZ's. Your statistical analysis doesnt use anything advanced, and is pretty much on par with how the average square makes their picks. I'm sure your live plays do alright though.



If you did the math or ever spoke with anyone who actually works at a sports book you would realize this is EXACTLY how they create the lines. I look for a disparity between that and the line that’s posted to pick out the best value
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Nov 7 2021 10:04am
Quote (XEnvy @ Nov 7 2021 11:01am)
If you did the math or ever spoke with anyone who actually works at a sports book you would realize this is EXACTLY how they create the lines. I look for a disparity between that and the line that’s posted to pick out the best value


Alright. You post 6 games from nfl and I'll post 6 games using my system. Spread will be closing ats Westgate. 1k fg bet
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Nov 7 2021 10:07am
Quote (Kimiko_tan @ Nov 7 2021 08:04am)
Alright. You post 6 games from nfl and I'll post 6 games using my system. Spread will be closing ats Westgate. 1k fg bet



See that’s how I know you’re a casual. And didn’t even read. I bet the early lines because that is where all the value is. :wallbash: :bonk:
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Nov 7 2021 10:08am
Quote (XEnvy @ Nov 7 2021 11:07am)
See that’s how I know you’re a casual. And didn’t even read. I bet the early lines because that is where all the value is. :wallbash: :bonk:


Okay we can go with opening lines that moved no more than 1 point.

This post was edited by Kimiko_tan on Nov 7 2021 10:09am
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Posts: 56,427
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Nov 7 2021 10:10am
Quote (XEnvy @ Nov 7 2021 11:07am)
See that’s how I know you’re a casual. And didn’t even read. I bet the early lines because that is where all the value is. :wallbash: :bonk:


I read the part where you said you would keep posting your plays and now you dont post any. Why is that? You probably hit 40% of your bets so far.
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Nov 7 2021 10:10am
Quote (Kimiko_tan @ Nov 7 2021 08:08am)
Okay we can go with opening lines that moved no more than 1 point.



To give you an idea, I took Houston at +7 opening line with speculation Tyrod would return. Where is the line now. What works for me might not work for everyone else. Not sure why people are so mad at some extra info from someone who does this on a daily basis. I have winning days and losing days just like everyone else. Following a system helps to mitigate loses in the long run
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Nov 7 2021 10:11am
Quote (Kimiko_tan @ Nov 7 2021 08:10am)
I read the part where you said you would keep posting your plays and now you dont post any. Why is that? You probably hit 40% of your bets so far.



Went 5-2 in NCAAF yesterday did perfectly fine. Why am I going to keep posting when people don’t want the help? You’re all experts right
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Nov 7 2021 10:16am
Quote (XEnvy @ Nov 7 2021 11:11am)
Went 5-2 in NCAAF yesterday did perfectly fine. Why am I going to keep posting when people don’t want the help? You’re all experts right


I went 14-6 with my system yesterday. Sounds like I would have won more money if I tailed you. But you dont post your picks cuz it's all made up
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Nov 7 2021 10:17am
Quote (Kimiko_tan @ Nov 7 2021 08:16am)
I went 14-6 with my system yesterday. Sounds like I would have won more money if I tailed you. But you dont post your picks cuz it's all made up



Believe whatever you want (looks like I made another fan) glad you had a winning day but that many play is a bit outrageous. Care to post your tickets? Since everyone else demands that of me let’s see em
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