Quote (Kimiko_tan @ Nov 7 2021 08:00am)
Instead of using your ABC's, you skipped to your XYZ's. Your statistical analysis doesnt use anything advanced, and is pretty much on par with how the average square makes their picks. I'm sure your live plays do alright though.
If you did the math or ever spoke with anyone who actually works at a sports book you would realize this is EXACTLY how they create the lines. I look for a disparity between that and the line that’s posted to pick out the best value