Quote (SheriffCool @ Jan 30 2015 11:32am)
I use math to make my picks. I take into account average ppg, turnovers, offensive rebounds, free throw and 3 pt percentage made and taken per game.
Blazers are within 1 ppg on average at 102.8 ppg with hawks at 103.6. they both average about 13 turnovers, so that cancels out. 4.5 more off rebounds per game for blazers and they shoot free throws a few % better like 77 to 79%. 3pt percentage goes by about 1% to favor the hawks. Also the losses the blazers have had recently have been close for the most part, so math says it should be a close game thus making me take the points.
you just take overall percentages?
and not blazers at away games + hawks at home games?
I feel like homecourt advantage has a big part ..
you dont calculate any defense into this as well?
also hawks already beat blazers once this season @portland by 8
if they can do it away I def believe they could do at home considering this team at home is really good
also they might shoot that % but do they shoot that % or put up that many points against #1 defense and at away games?
seems like a lot more math would need to go into this
also out of 15 games in january only 2 games they didnt win by 8 or more points at home or away