Quote (Vilify @ 7 Sep 2019 12:48)
Yo I need math help.
If I bet phoenix ML 82 times, and they win 30 games, do I profit since they are easentially always underdogs so better return?
30/82 = .365
1/.365 = 2.74~~
The average game would need to be +275 for it to be worth it
And this cannot change throughout the season, it gets tricky. If they lose than 52 then you are likely in trouble.
If they win more but early throwing off the average then you might still lose money.
Now last year the pheonix suns were favourites in 9/82 games. And their median ml was .300~
They also only won 19 games.
Above the median they won 8 times with 2 big wins gsw +1371 and greek freak +930 and lost of course 33 times. Counting above the median they won about 39 times the bet and below the line they are about 24 times the bet. Which is still less than 41 times the bet.
No you do not profit.
It seems extrapolating from the data above that if you want to make m9ney then bet on them as dogs to teams that give them more then +350 and you are profiting.
Hope that helps
Also note I am using last years data only and there are many variables not considered but minor in its variance.
https://www.teamrankings.com/nba/team/phoenix-sunsThis post was edited by Phaggot on Sep 7 2019 01:56pm