You don't even have a clue how I do it, so don't act like you do. My system helps me pick winning games, not the winner of every game. I never said that it did. You just keep trying to disprove and poke fun at it, but the fact remains that its been working for me consistently the way I have been doing it. Of course I'm picking the games that have the highest percentage chance for me to cash out on, I would be stupid not to. Once again for the slow kids this is how I come to the games I bet on. I do my math for all the colleges games that day (today there was 19 games). Then with my math done this gives me my percentage of the chances that they will win. I then take the highest percentages out of all the games and usually bet on the top 4-6 according to my rankings that day. Yesterday it was Oregon +6 vs Utah(#9) (58%), and MSU over Illinios (54%) that were in my top picks, I dont care about the teams, I care about winning the bet. Like I stated before I'm just a regular guy putting in the time and using the numbers available to everyone and past performances to determine which teams give me the best chance of winning. Usually its between 52-60% and then you take your chances but I'll bet on the 60-40 game every time before I'll bet on a 50-50 game.

This post was edited by SheriffCool on Feb 23 2015 04:39pm

Tracking your results for the next 56 games, if your model works I as well as you say I should expect 60% wins for this set of 56 games as well. I'm expecting to see more like 53% wins

I should care why?

Because I'm trying to help you confirm (or deny) your results
Again you fail to see the statistical reasoning behind having 2 different samples and you highlight once again your level or ignorance on the subject.

Whatever model you are using must not be very sophisticated because you have the brain capacity of a redneck hick that's been doing drugs for way too long

This post was edited by sentries on Feb 23 2015 06:32pm

im betting real life money on your picks

any bets lost will be billed to you

LOL

Edit: sheriff what I think they're trying to say is your past results are unsustainable (which you acknowledge) but that doesn't mean you're not a good or winning sports bettor. That seems to be the main argument from what I'm reading. U guys seem to be making two different arguments.

This post was edited by MVPx on Feb 23 2015 06:40pm

You are not trying to confirm my results, you're just another bandwagon hater saying its impossible and blah,blah,blah. You then resort by attempting to insult my intelligence and say I can't understand the articles you posted when I did not even bother looking at them. I don't fail to see the statistical data, I choose to ignore it. What does what anyone else has done have to do with me and my system? Not a damn thing that's what. I don't need your validation nor did I ask for it. I'm posting my picks for other people who asked me for them, not so you can credit or discredit me. This is so sad all the butt hurt in this thread when someone is winning.

vouch

Can you guys just shut up and make a 'bash on sheriff here' thread instead of doing it in the thread he posts his picks in?

Well then you are headed down a path of misery and despair, because I'm a lying hack guessing lucky bastard who is ready to crash down and go on the worlds longest losing streak because I can't possibly have figured out how to shift the odds in my favor a little, due to the fact that I'm a redneck high brain who didn't go to school past the third grade. I wouldn't follow my picks either, hell my bookie didn't even want to take my picks today he said he don't know how much more he can take.Oh ya and I live in a trailer down by the river.

This post was edited by SheriffCool on Feb 23 2015 06:56pm