Quote (Sopranos @ Jan 3 2017 12:00pm)
Record 11-2
Lox for today:
Raptors +6.5: Holy cow! Are my eyes deceiving me? Rapgoats are 6.5 point underdogs!?! Lets hop on that asap. Now I know it is against the spurs at home, but are the spurs really deserving of such a large spread? Not in my opinion. The spurs have been extremely mediocre at home, sitting at a 10-4 su record at home and are 7-15 ats in their own stadium. The raptors are 12-3 su on the road and are 11-5 ats on away games, huge raptors nod right there. Raptors are third in the league with scoring at 111.8ppg and are allowing 103.2ppg, also a key note is that the raptors are the LEADER in the league in offense efficiency and play at the 11th slowest tempo in the league, holy crap! The spurs are middle in the pack offensively, averaging 105.4ppg and allowing 98.3ppg, one of the better defensive teams for sure. Looking at matchups, the spurs have a clear advantage at the forward positions with leonard and aldridge, slight nod to valanciunas at center for the raptors and a huge, big ol head nod to the raptors backcourt. I also think leonard isnt gonna be his normal self tonight, he looked sluggish vs the hawks and i still believe he isnt fully better after his gastrointestinal distress that kept him sidelined for a few games. The spurs aren't spectacular at home this season, while the raptors are road warriors. Such a generous spread to give the raptors that it is foolish not backing a 21-11 ats teams.
Tail and eat bros
Edit: **DISCLAIMER** hydro is on raptors. Shit fuck :wallbash:
Be advised
Adding a small parlay just for fun. All my lox picks are 2u plays, this parlay will just be for .5 units, because why not. I dont count parlays as part of my records fyi. Without further ado,
Parlay: wolves over/jazz under/mavs over/suns ats
Wolves over: its the wolves vs sixers, neither team can play defense, both teams can score, 203.5 seems rather low to me. Both teams allow and score over 100ppg, so i dont really forsee a struggle to score. Line movement indicates people betting on the over, good enough of a sign for me.
Jazz under: jazz as we all know leads the league in limiting opponents ppg, they only average 95 points and allow 92 points. They managed to only score 101 points vs the nets and the nets are the worst defensive team in the league. Jazz are without hill again and they just played last night and they had to travel to boston. Celtics have marcus smart out, half their starters are getting over illnesses, bradley will prob be squishy this game, thomas should be slowed down enough by the best defense, all signs point to a low one tonight. I expect a 192~ game, well enough below the 200 total
Mavs over: again, 200.5 seems low. Mavs at home have gone over 4 out of 6 times, and while playing the wizards, have gone over 6 out of 9. Washington has gone over 12 out of their last 17 games. I dont see anyone limiting wall or beal tonight.
Suns ats: -2.5 points for the home team vs the banged up heat? Sure fuck it. We all know the suns can score with the best of them and can really shine offensively, meanwhile winslow, whiteside and mcroberts are out for the heatles, i totally can see a lopsided suns win. But afterall, it is the suns, so who knows. If they manage to lose to the broken down heat it wouldn't completely surprise me.
This post was edited by Sopranos on Jan 3 2017 05:35pm