inb4 I get all these wrong lol
Titans (if you buy the hook to +3). Tenn's pass rush should give Luck problems and keep it close. However, I could see Luck eviscerating Tenn's bad secondary too, so... bet with caution.
Jags (if you buy the hook to +7). Betting the Jags is always a risky proposition, but Lions have played from behind in every 4th quarter this season, so this number is too high.
Bears +7.5 Cutler really pissed me off last week with his awful performance, so that's the only thing giving me pause here. Otherwise, these are two pretty even teams on paper. Bears pass rush should force Eli into several turnovers.
Vikings -2 It seems like the public hasn't caught on yet that the Cardinals are a terrible team. I expect this one to be a safe win for the Vikings, even despite their offensive woes, since their defense should do most the work. Palmer should have a lot more INTs to his name, but defenders inexplicably drop them lol. Vikings should get some pressure on the Cards' injured OL and force some turnovers.
Rams ML (Spread is Rams +2). The Dolphins are back to having an injured OL, which is when they went on their 1-4 streak. Now they face one of the best pass-rushing defenses in the league. I expect a sloppy, low-scoring game for both teams, but the Rams should win. It's worth checking if Todd Gurley plays btw. I also think the players will be amped to try hard for Goff.
Eagles +7 and ML I actually really like this as a sneaky bet. The Eagles have a pass rush that can really expose the Seahawks OL woes. The Eagles offensive scheme throws a lot of underneath stuff and establishes the run, which is how you beat Seattle. It'll be a low-scoring game, and that favors the underdog. I actually think the Eagles have a decent shot of upsetting too.
Packers ML (official is +3) People are selling the Packers because of their past few games, but they were in it until the end vs the Colts and Falcons. I think they just overlooked the historically woeful Titans. I don't need points, the Packers are the better team here. Washington has injuries that are being overlooked, namely on the OL and in the secondary.
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in terms of confidence, Packers > Vikings > Rams > Eagles +7 > rest (might not even bet the titans, jags, or bears just because how much can you really trust them)
oh, and jinx bets on the Steelers and Bengals ofc
This post was edited by Terps on Nov 20 2016 03:11am