Quote (MVPx @ Jan 8 2016 05:13pm)
What's break even? Like 52%? 54% is nothing to laugh at... People that have real experience sports betting respect that lol.
Quote (stuartg85 @ Feb 19 2015 10:15am)
vegas odds you have to win what, 52% of bets to break even? if you win 55% you can be a millionaire, if you win 60% you'd be the greatest gambler alive...
I never did the math but apparently Stuarts professors did.
Quote (stuartg85 @ Feb 19 2015 10:26am)
well, considering a PHD professor at my college and a statistician did this years ago with great results in the NCAA tourny then one year it fell to complete shit i'd have to say that your "math" is likely just luck at this point
http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/eticket/story?page=bracketnation(halfway down the page you'll see the entire thing)
but good luck showing 2 years of results and then trying to market your product lole/
"The model quickly proved out. In the 2004 tournament, four of the five top-ranked LRMC teams made the Final Four. One was Georgia Tech, which had been seeded only third in its region. Sweet vindication! And often repeated! In the past seven years — going back to the statistical beginning of the model in 1999-2000, 22 of the 28 teams in the Final Four have been ranked first or second in their region by the LRMC.
That outperforms all other ranking systems, assert the profs, who naturally have the stats to back that up. Go back through the past seven tourneys and all the head-to-head matchups of teams seeded differently by RPI and LRMC, and two-thirds of the time the latter got it right, correctly predicting the winner."
Quote (Justise @ Jan 8 2016 05:25pm)
look at last year, sherriff was absolutely killing it
couple more days like yesterday and he will be making a tidy profit np
110-68 was my final on regular season games last season which is 61.79775%
I hope to get between 55 and 60% this season as well to help me validate this for myself at this point. I might run this for 5 years and then go big, bet the house cars bank land all of it to double up or more on a lock and just quit after that and sell my formula.