Rays can fuck off.
Cubs too but to a far lesser extent.

Saved by the Memeiners and WNBA.

Why would you create a linchpin out of the abysmal rays? /e I mean I know Tigers generally suck but seemed far from a lock.

This post was edited by Terps on Jun 30 2016 11:42pm

The line spoke to me.

It sucks that they lost the way they did, but I just can't feel too comfortable betting on a bad team. This is the time of the season when bad teams start having their players quit on the team, managers stop caring and get fired, bad moral sets in, etc.

On the other hand, I'll probably be betting on some very bad teams regularly next nfl season when I strictly fade the public at a threshold of 85% lean. Vegas wins over 60% of those 85% games, so my thinking is if I just keep to that number really strictly then I should gain gradually. An experiment it'll be I guess.

/do you happen to know a similar stat to the one above, but for baseball?

This post was edited by Terps on Jul 1 2016 12:04am

Rangers threw the game in the 9th inning yesterday + today's game.
Rays allowed 8 runs in the 9th inning when leading 7-2.
Cubs... have no clue wtf happened in the 7th.

Everything looked gucci then all a sudden everything went down the hole. Tough losses.



This post was edited by Stolem on Jul 1 2016 02:10am

I put more emphasis on the books moving lines. They're moving it for a reason. Sometimes they would obviously prefer a certain team comes out on top but their goal is make the money as close to 50/50 as possible so they just take in the juice. So when I see the type of movement I saw on the Rays game, it means they are either reacting towards a lot of money on the Rays or a bettor they respect has put a decent sized wager on the Rays. The line got more attractive for the Tigers squares despite most of the bets coming in on the Tigers. I used to think it could be percentage of money on a team but that is counter intuitive to the trying to get 50/50 thing. Unless they know of a fix, which I highly doubt.

To end the rambling:

I don't think if such a stat exists for baseball it would be as effective. There are 256 NFL games per season in the regular season. The books have a lot more time to come up with lines. A lot more time to change the lines based on how much money is coming or who is betting on what. In baseball, they have less than a day to come up with and release most lines. And there are 2,430 regular season games.

In baseball, I've personally seen 50 cents of line movement against 80% of the bets lose. Numerous times. It's the biggest crapshoot of any sport. The Giants won three World's Eries in five years for god's sake.



There are no words for this. Just unbelievable.

This post was edited by Proint on Jul 1 2016 02:34am

Made some back from poker so not a bad day after all but couldve come up a bunch.


Lets get em tmr

This post was edited by Stolem on Jul 1 2016 02:41am

Yep. If Rays and Cubs don't shit their pants I hit my 7 to win 500 parlay.

Tough losses

sauce fellas?