Working on a formula for baseball, going to put my picks in here. I've done testing on regular picks but also am going to try and apply it to over/under eventually too.

I'll do this in terms of units against the odds.

Tiers of 1/2/3 units with 3 obviously being the best games.

5/16/17
Nationals -155 (3 to 1.94 units)
Astros -165 (3 to 1.82 units)
Rangers -185 (3 to 1.62 units)
Rockies +105 (3 to 3.15 units)
Cardinals -110 (1 to 0.91 units)
Yankees -115 (1 to 0.87 units)
Rockies/Twins Under 9.5 -110 (1 to 0.91 units)
Reds/Cubs Under 11.5 -110 (1 to 0.91 units)

*Mets, Brewers, Athletics, Dodgers pending line-ups.

This post was edited by TB12 on May 16 2017 03:56pm

Diamondbacks -164 (3 to 1.83 units)
Brewers +102 (1 to 1.02 units)
Mariners -110 (2 to 1.82 units)
Dodgers -160 (1 to 0.63 units)
Dodgers/Giants Over 7.5 -110 (1 to 0.91 units)

So Rockies ml is a lock tonight according to your formula?

Yeah but it might be a 2 unit play in the future that's on the edge.

Biggest lock tonight is the Astros.

If there was a formula, someone would have figured it out by now

It's a projection/system. Just testing it out seeing how it works. Obviously nothing is perfect.

Results: (5/16/17)
Nationals -155 (3 to 1.94 units)
Astros -165 (3 to 1.82 units)
Rangers -185 (3 to 1.62 units)
Rockies +105 (3 to 3.15 units)
Cardinals -110 (1 to 0.91 units)
Yankees -115 (1 to 0.87 units)
Rockies/Twins Under 9.5 -110 (1 to 0.91 units)
Reds/Cubs Under 11.5 -110 (1 to 0.91 units)
Diamondbacks -164 (3 to 1.83 units)
Brewers +102 (1 to 1.02 units)
Mariners -110 (2 to 1.82 units)
Dodgers -160 (1 to 0.63 units)
Dodgers/Giants Over 7.5 -110 (1 to 0.91 units)

Record - 7-6
Units: +5.25

5/17/17
Astros -155 (3 to 1.94 units)
Diamondbacks -130 (2 to 1.54 units)
Houston/Miami Under 8 (1 to 0.87 units)

Dodgers -190 (1 to 0.53 units)
Braves -112 (1 to 0.89 units)

Nationals +125 (1 to 1.25 units)
Tigers -142 (3 to 2.11 units)
Rangers -126 (3 to 2.38 units)
Cardinals +100 (2 to 2 units)
Brewers +115 (2 to 2.3 units)
Cubs/Reds Under 11 (2 to 1.9 units)
Phillies/Rangers Under 10.5 (3 to 2.73 units)
Yankees/Royals Under 8.5 (1 to 0.95 units)