You're not listening to your dudes



Padres are pretty good against LHP's. Pomeranz has looked great this year regardless of his win/loss record.
Ryu returns for Dodgers tonight, I expect it to be a short night for him.. meaning Dodgers bullpen will get some work, which is the second best in baseball right now...
Hard game to me.

e: Also, Dodgers are 10-2 at home last 12 and 11-4 last 15 against Padres.

(DONT LET THIS SWAY YOUR BETS ANYONE)

This post was edited by Esthetic on Jul 7 2016 01:59pm

That's fine. You're a little picture guy. I may very well be wrong tonight as I am wrong more than I am right. That's the life of betting on underdogs. I see great value tonight in Pom.

He's obviously the better starter.

I'll do a daily Favored/Underdog pick.
Keep in mind this is all opinion, just like everyone else's locks.
Obviously the favored pick is going to be a safer pick.
All picks are ML. These are not the safest picks as heavy favorites are generally better.
Note: I will not pick a favored team over -199 (2:1 is ez to call locks)
____ : I will not pick an underdog team under +114 (1:1.1 isn't really underdog, basically even)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


7/7 Picks:
Teams eliminated: Cubs, Mets, Nationals, Rays, Angels, Twins, Athletics

Favored
@ ASTROS -121 (D. Fister) > ATHLETICS +111 (R. Hill)
We're riding the hot team boys.
I think Hill is the better pitcher, but the Astros convey a much more aggressive offense.
Astros are 11-15 vs LHP, Athletics are 27-37 vs RHP.
Astros are 26-17 at home (better than on road), Athletics are 19-23 on road (better than at home).
Astros are 14-3 last 17 games, 9-2 last 11 at home, and 4-1 last 5 against Athletics.
Athletics are 1-6 last 6 games but 7-3 last 10 on the road.. but 0-5 last 5 @ Astros.
Doug Fister (R), I don't even know her: 8-5, 3.66 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 64k, 33bb (last 3: CHW 4.2ip 9h 5er, @KC 6.2ip 8h 4er, LAA 7ip 4h 2er)
Rich Hill (L) ------------------------------- : 8-3, 2.31 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 80k, 26bb (last 3: PIT 6ip 4h 2er, DET 6.1ip 5h 2er, @SEA 8ip 8h 0er)


Underdog
BRAVES +230 (L. Harrell) > @ CUBS -280 (J. Hammel)
It's all about that value y'all. Warning: Homer pick
I think Hammel is the better pitcher, but Cubs have a tendency to lose against bad teams and have lost 5 straight with Hammel (1 to ATL and only 1 against a good team).
Braves are 19-35 vs RHP, Cubs are 33-23 vs RHP.
Braves are 15-23 on road (better than at home), Cubs are 26-13 at home (better than on road)
Braves are 1-5 last 6 games, 1-4 last 5 on the road (7-3 last 10 with RL on the road), and 2-9 last 11 against the Cubs.
Cubs are 1-6 last 7 games, 1-5 last 6 at home, but 5-1 last 6 at home against Braves.
Lucas Harrell (R)--: 1-0, 1.50 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, 5k, 1bb (last 1: MIA 6ip 3h 1er)
Jason Hammel (R): 7-5, 3.45 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 73k, 29bb (last 3: @NYM 4ip 9h 10er, @MIA 6ip 4h 2er, STL 5.2ip 6h 4er)

This post was edited by Esthetic on Jul 7 2016 02:45pm

Guys the truth

Terps has been doing well enough lately to don8 and increase his own fg at the same time

I hope so, Esthetic

I'm a little nervous about the game tonight.
Rich Hill is really good. We had to scrape a 2-1 win off him back in May.

Hopefully the offense lights him up tonight.
Fister has been faltering in recent starts.

indians game looking weird

Noun, i just put 1k on rockies and 500 on the game going over, feel free to go opposite

Mike Stanton ez HR derby lock, my dude in vegas paged me.
Oops, posted a couple weeks early.

This post was edited by Esthetic on Jul 7 2016 06:35pm