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Jul 7 2016 01:06pm
Quote (Fgs @ Jul 7 2016 02:00pm)
Its actually the easiest if you know what you're doing. Alot of people make decent money on MLB including myself. Its really the only sport I handicap. I love playoff time.
NFL is by far the hardest.


lolk. It's all opinion. Vegas makes more money on baseball, so either people are worse at it or more people play it.. which I think it's the former personally.
If it's so easy you should post your picks and we'll see how well you "know what you're doing".
It's not a challenge, argument, or dick flexing contest.. just saying that with probabilities, baseball is one of the hardest sports.. and chances of an upset is one of the highest.

This post was edited by Esthetic on Jul 7 2016 01:12pm
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Jul 7 2016 01:14pm
Quote (Esthetic @ Jul 7 2016 02:06pm)
lolk. It's all opinion. Vegas makes more money on baseball, so either people are worse at it or more people play it.. which I think it's the former personally.
If it's so easy you should post your picks and we'll see how well you "know what you're doing".


Well its difficult to compare 162 games vs 16.. If the NFL was 162 games, this wouldnt even be a discussion.

What I meant was its "easy" if you have experience and discipline. Easy doesn't mean I make millions and millions of dollars on baseball.

Throughout the years I have averaged around $6-8k per year in profits from gambling on sports. Most of it has come from baseball.

You can message me on facebook if you'd like and I will direct you to my wife who will happily confirm. I spend the profits on her and she lets me gamble :D

I made $3,500+ in fg the past 8 months on this site and cashed out via tickets.

Gambling is all about bankroll management and extreme discipline. The highs are high and the lows are low. No one wins all the time. Cap 55% of the games correctly and you are one of the best in the business.

There is less variance in a 162 game season vs a 16 game season. That is why it is easier for me.

Also I prefer series style playoffs rather than one game elimination for gambling

This post was edited by Fgs on Jul 7 2016 01:18pm
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Jul 7 2016 01:22pm
Quote (Fgs @ Jul 7 2016 02:14pm)
Well its difficult to compare 162 games vs 16.. If the NFL was 162 games, this wouldnt even be a discussion.
What I meant was its "easy" if you have experience and discipline. Easy doesn't mean I make millions and millions of dollars on baseball.
Throughout the years I have averaged around $6-8k per year in profits from gambling on sports. Most of it has come from baseball.
You can message me on facebook if you'd like and I will direct you to my wife who will happily confirm. I spend the profits on her and she lets me gamble :D
I made $3,500+ in fg the past 8 months on this site and cashed out via tickets.
Gambling is all about bankroll management and extreme discipline. The highs are high and the lows are low. No one wins all the time. Cap 55% of the games correctly and you are one of the best in the business.
There is less variance in a 162 game season vs a 16 game season. That is why it is easier for me.


Ok, so you have good luck with baseball.. that still doesn't equate to it being easier.
You have much more potential of losses in baseball trying to cover juice and betting for so many games throughout the season that a couple favored losses will make an endless uphill struggle to remain positive.

You don't need to say how much you've "made", that's irrelevant (even though you didn't make 350k+ fg from baseball I can guarantee that).

This post was edited by Esthetic on Jul 7 2016 01:23pm
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Jul 7 2016 01:23pm
I am a volume better.

During an MLB season, I will probably bet 1-3 games per day. My specialties are Sunday Night Baseball games. They tend to have the most public money and can be easy to cap.

For my real money I never risk more than 3% of my bankroll on any game. I rarely ever bet 3% unless I have a strong lean. I usually bet 1% per game. I LOVE UNDERDOGS. Slight dogs are

legit my bread and butter. There is so, so much value in the MLB for dog bettors.
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Jul 7 2016 01:25pm
Quote (Fgs @ Jul 7 2016 02:23pm)
I am a volume better.
During an MLB season, I will probably bet 1-3 games per day. My specialties are Sunday Night Baseball games. They tend to have the most public money and can be easy to cap.
For my real money I never risk more than 3% of my bankroll on any game. I rarely ever bet 3% unless I have a strong lean. I usually bet 1% per game. I LOVE UNDERDOGS. Slight dogs are
legit my bread and butter. There is so, so much value in the MLB for dog bettors.


Betting 1-3 games a day for 162 days will net a loss 99% of the time. Like I said, you must be very lucky.
Not arguing with you though.. statistics say it's a terrible sport to bet on because of how many games there are and how many "upsets" per day there is.
There's always an anomaly.

This post was edited by Esthetic on Jul 7 2016 01:27pm
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Jul 7 2016 01:26pm
I just want me some NFL

Gonna reload my 5d and go ham
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Jul 7 2016 01:27pm
fgs can you list us a few picks so we can tail?
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Jul 7 2016 01:28pm
Quote (Esthetic @ Jul 7 2016 02:22pm)
Ok, so you have good luck with baseball.. that still doesn't equate to it being easier.
You have much more potential of losses in baseball trying to cover juice and betting for so many games throughout the season that a couple favored losses will make an endless uphill struggle to remain positive.

You don't need to say how much you've "made", that's irrelevant.


I bet on toss ups. I have never bet on a team with a line of -150 or more.

I prefer short favorites or small dogs between +125 to -125

My win rate is around 47% with average odds of +114 for this season which is just about even.
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Jul 7 2016 01:30pm
I'm swapping washer to dryer and I'll come up and look at the games. Post will prob be in ~30m (4 est I think)
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Jul 7 2016 01:30pm
Quote (Esthetic @ Jul 7 2016 02:25pm)
Betting 1-3 games a day for 162 days will net a loss 99% of the time. Like I said, you must be very lucky.
Not arguing with you though.. statistics say it's a terrible sport to bet on because of how many games there are and how many "upsets" per day there is.
There's always an anomaly.


Incorrect. The higher volume of games with EV+ you bet on the higher chances for long term success. I don't bet 1-3 games a day on random ass games just to bet. I find games I think there is value in and bet them. I exaggerated with betting every day. If there aren't any games I like, I pass.
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