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Member
Posts: 39,789
Joined: Jul 11 2008
Gold: 15.30
May 20 2017 01:40pm
5/20/17
Red Sox/Athletics Over 8.5 -125 (1 to 0.8 units)
Pirates -124 (2 to 1.61 units)
Indians/Astros Over 9 +100 (1 to 1 units)
Rockies +100 (2 to 2 units)
Yankees/Rays Over 8 -120 (1 to 0.83 units)
Nationals -220 (3 to 1.36 units)
Member
Posts: 39,789
Joined: Jul 11 2008
Gold: 15.30
May 20 2017 04:54pm
Mets -125 (2 to 1.6 units)
Cardinals -140 (2 to 1.43 units)
Tigers -148 (1 to 0.68 units)
Orioles -163 (3 to 1.84 units)
Blue Jays/Orioles Over 9 -105 (1 to 0.95 units)
Mariners -160 (2 to 1.25 units)
White Sox/Mariners Over 8.5 -115 (1 to 0.87 units)
Dodgers -185 (3 to 1.62 units)
Member
Posts: 39,789
Joined: Jul 11 2008
Gold: 15.30
May 20 2017 09:56pm
Results: (5/20/17)
Red Sox/Athletics Over 8.5 -125 (1 to 0.8 units)
Pirates -124 (2 to 1.61 units)

Indians/Astros Over 9 +100 (1 to 1 units)
Rockies +100 (2 to 2 units)
Yankees/Rays Over 8 -120 (1 to 0.83 units)
Nationals -220 (3 to 1.36 units)
Mets -125 (2 to 1.6 units)
Cardinals -140 (2 to 1.43 units)
Tigers -148 (1 to 0.68 units)
Orioles -163 (3 to 1.84 units)
Blue Jays/Orioles Over 9 -105 (1 to 0.95 units)
Mariners -160 (2 to 1.25 units)
White Sox/Mariners Over 8.5 -115 (1 to 0.87 units)
Dodgers -185 (3 to 1.62 units)

Daily
Record: 8-6
Units: -3.82

Total
Record: 34-30
Units: -0.07
Member
Posts: 39,789
Joined: Jul 11 2008
Gold: 15.30
May 21 2017 12:21pm
5/21/17
Rockies +102 (2 to 2.04 units)
Yankees/Rays Over 8 -120 (1 to 0.83 units)
Pirates +110 (1 to 1.1 units)
Orioles -114 (3 to 2.63 units)
Nationals -190 (2 to 1.05 units)
Astros -105 (1 to 0.95 units)
Indians/Astros Over 8 -125 (1 to 0.8 units)
Cardinals -175 (1 to 0.57 units)
Giants/Cardinals Under 9 -115 (1 to 0.87 units)
Brewers +185 (2 to 3.7 units)
Brewers/Cubs Under 10.5 -115 (1 to 0.87 units)
Athletics +107 (2 to 2.14 units)
Red Sox/Athletics Under 8.5 -105 (1 to 0.95 units)
Diamondbacks -115 (3 to 2.61 units)

This post was edited by TB12 on May 21 2017 12:23pm
Member
Posts: 39,789
Joined: Jul 11 2008
Gold: 15.30
May 22 2017 12:35pm
Results: (5/21/17)
Rockies +102 (2 to 2.04 units)
Yankees/Rays Over 8 -120 (1 to 0.83 units)
Pirates +110 (1 to 1.1 units)
Orioles -114 (3 to 2.63 units)
Nationals -190 (2 to 1.05 units)
Astros -105 (1 to 0.95 units)
Indians/Astros Over 8 -125 (1 to 0.8 units)
Cardinals -175 (1 to 0.57 units)
Giants/Cardinals Under 9 -115 (1 to 0.87 units)
Brewers +185 (2 to 3.7 units)
Brewers/Cubs Under 10.5 -115 (1 to 0.87 units)

Athletics +107 (2 to 2.14 units)
Red Sox/Athletics Under 8.5 -105 (1 to 0.95 units)

Diamondbacks -115 (3 to 2.61 units)
Twins -108 (1 to 0.93 units)
Tigers +118 (1 to 1.18 units)

Daily
Record: 6-10
Units: -9.34

Total:
Record: 40-40
Units: -9.41
Member
Posts: 39,789
Joined: Jul 11 2008
Gold: 15.30
Jun 24 2017 01:18pm
I've done quite a bit of research and while my system is definitely on the right track, I'm just applying it to the wrong games. Also I'm incorporating some more advanced statistics to further improve my projections. So I'm going to flip the script and focus on underdogs in baseball, so the goal isn't to have a great win/loss record the goal is to simply be up units.

I'm not sold on my over/under calculations so much either but I'm going to keep that separately and see where it's at.

6/24/17 (Money Line)
Rangers +145 (3 to 4.35 units)
White Sox -103 (1 to 0.97 units)
Royals +100 (2 to 2 units)
Rays -140 (1 to 0.71 units)
Marlins +145 (3 to 4.35 units)
Brewers -104 (1 to 0.96 units)

6/24/17 (Totals)
Orioles/Rays Under 9 -105 (1 to 0.95 units)


Raw Data
V Runs Guess Odds Real Odds Guess H Runs Guess Odds Real Odds Guess Total Real Total Guess
TEX 6.33 145 -179 NYY 5.4 -160 179 11 11.73
OAK 3.64 -107 330 CHW 5.96 -103 -330 10.5 9.59
TOR 3.47 -110 206 KCR 4.68 100 -206 9 8.15
BAL 3.14 130 271 TBR 4.66 -140 -271 9 7.8
CHC 4.64 -155 -126 MIA 4.21 145 126 9 8.84
MIL 4.63 -104 -117 ATL 4.47 -106 117 9.5 9.1
MIN 4.19 210 227 CLE 5.85 -250 -227 9.5 10.04

This post was edited by TB12 on Jun 24 2017 01:21pm
Member
Posts: 39,789
Joined: Jul 11 2008
Gold: 15.30
Jun 24 2017 07:08pm
Angels +155 (2 to 3.1 units)
Rockies +220 (1 to 2.2 units)

Twins/Indians Over 9 -115 (1 to 0.87 units)
Mets/Giants Over 7.5 -115 (1 to 0.87 units)
Rockies/Dodgers Over 7 -115 (1 to 0.87 units)
Tigers/Padres Over 8.5 -115 (3 to 2.61 units)
Phillies/Diamondbacks Under 9.5 +100 (1 to 1 Units)

LAA 4.88 155 -110 BOS 4.78 -175 110 9.5 9.66
NYM 4.52 -102 -160 SFG 4.01 -108 160 7.5 8.52
PIT 3.85 110 147 STL 4.24 -120 -147 8.5 8.09
COL 3.67 220 199 LAD 4.47 -260 -199 7 8.14
DET 6.28 108 -113 SDP 6.13 -118 113 8.5 12.41
HOU 4.79 -153 -182 SEA 4.06 143 182 9.5 8.84
PHI 3.34 200 228 ARI 4.32 -240 -228 9.5 7.66
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