I've done quite a bit of research and while my system is definitely on the right track, I'm just applying it to the wrong games. Also I'm incorporating some more advanced statistics to further improve my projections. So I'm going to flip the script and focus on underdogs in baseball, so the goal isn't to have a great win/loss record the goal is to simply be up units.
I'm not sold on my over/under calculations so much either but I'm going to keep that separately and see where it's at.
6/24/17 (Money Line)
Rangers +145 (3 to 4.35 units)
White Sox -103 (1 to 0.97 units)
Royals +100 (2 to 2 units)
Rays -140 (1 to 0.71 units)
Marlins +145 (3 to 4.35 units)
Brewers -104 (1 to 0.96 units)
6/24/17 (Totals)
Orioles/Rays Under 9 -105 (1 to 0.95 units)
Raw Data
V Runs Guess Odds Real Odds Guess H Runs Guess Odds Real Odds Guess Total Real Total Guess
TEX 6.33 145 -179 NYY 5.4 -160 179 11 11.73
OAK 3.64 -107 330 CHW 5.96 -103 -330 10.5 9.59
TOR 3.47 -110 206 KCR 4.68 100 -206 9 8.15
BAL 3.14 130 271 TBR 4.66 -140 -271 9 7.8
CHC 4.64 -155 -126 MIA 4.21 145 126 9 8.84
MIL 4.63 -104 -117 ATL 4.47 -106 117 9.5 9.1
MIN 4.19 210 227 CLE 5.85 -250 -227 9.5 10.04
This post was edited by TB12 on Jun 24 2017 01:21pm