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Joined: Aug 13 2007
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Jul 26 2016 12:12am
Quote (Terps @ Jul 25 2016 04:16pm)
Do you actually net gain fg doing these bets? Seems like the juice would kill you. Also seems very tedious for Tx to figure out, but that's none of my concern lol


Quote (wheniwassevenishotacheetah @ Jul 25 2016 07:03pm)
Even so far. Something like home/ away games will probably not break, but we'll see.

Iirc, they're all run through excel/ sheets, so it shouldn't be that big a deal. I asked.






Every *AWAY* team. I fucked up there.




some statistics (source: 'The Wizard' Michael Shackleford)

Money Line Bets
Quote
Bet on Sample Size 10-cent Line 15-cent Line 20-cent Line

Home favorite 15797 -1.81% -2.92% -3.99%
Home dog 7977 2.07% 0.92% -0.19%
Home pick 492 0.00% -1.13% -2.22%
Away favorite 7977 -4.94% -6.02% -7.05%
Away dog 15797 -1.88% -2.99% -4.05%
Away pick 492 -4.76% -5.84% -6.87%
All home 24266 -0.84% -1.97% -3.04%
All away 24266 -3.17% -4.27% -5.32%
All favorite 23774 -2.79% -3.89% -4.94%
All dog 23774 -0.55% -1.68% -2.76%
All pick 984 -2.38% -3.49% -4.55%
All 48532 -1.90% -3.01% -4.07%



Total Line Bets in MLB
Quote
Winner Sample Size Probability

Over 11315 46.63%
Under 11812 48.68%
Push 1139 4.69%
Total 24266 100.00%

Assuming the player lays 110 every time, the house edge is 6.29% on over bets and 2.38% on under bets. Seldom do casinos have total bets with less juice than 10 cents.


P.S. not responsible if you 'lose your shirt' though lol
Member
Posts: 21,672
Joined: Sep 9 2011
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Jul 26 2016 01:18am
Quote (Tx6 @ Jul 26 2016 01:12am)
Home dog 7977 2.07% 0.92% -0.19%


Retirement plan, here I come.
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Jul 26 2016 06:48am
Quote (do_NaUKI @ Jul 25 2016 07:13pm)
single:
1. giants-1,5 = 30fg
2. dbags = 30fg
3. padres = 30fg
4. cards/mets over 7 = 30fg
5. cards = 30fg
6. royals-1,5 = 30fg
7. rockies = 30fg
8. red sox-1,5 = 30fg

parlay:
9. rangers+red sox+marlins+gians/reds over 8 = 10fg

total 250fg my side
25.7.2016 klo 20.13.25 Sent -250.00 (770.37 -> 520.37) to Tx6 (91,365.77 -> 91,615.77) u/f mlb


pretty epic 0/9

This post was edited by do_NaUKI on Jul 26 2016 06:48am
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Jul 26 2016 10:22am
nvm looked at wrong day

This post was edited by Canuckzzz on Jul 26 2016 10:23am
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