And Then There Was OneBy Jeff Todd (MLBTR) | January 28, 2020 at 8:08am CDTBy definition, there’ll always be one final major free agent to come off the board. It’s a lonely spot, perhaps, but also one where the market is yours and yours alone.
Things rarely shake out quite as might originally have been hoped, but neither does last-man-standing status mean the money has necessarily dried up.
We saw two fairly large contracts handed out in the middle of the 2019 season, including a multi-year pact for Craig Kimbrel.
MLBTR’s top 50 list has been picked over rather thoroughly. There are three unsigned players, including a solid relief arm (Pedro Strop) and useful utilityman (Brock Holt).
But if we’re being honest, there were others just off the list who could make roughly similar free agent cases.
We predicted both players to receive fairly modest guarantees.
So with Nick Castellanos leaving the board yesterday, we can now official declare: this year, the
Big Name Yet To Sign is Yasiel Puig.
His days as a true star with the Dodgers are distant memories now, but Puig has mostly been productive outside of a poor stretch with the Reds to open the 2019 season.
He hit about twenty percent above the league-average rate in the prior two campaigns and finished with a solid run late last year after being dealt to the Indians.
Depending upon one’s preferred means of measuring and valuing defense, Puig was a 3-4 WAR player in 2017 and 2018.
He’s only just turned 29; perhaps his downtick in 2019 was just a blip.
On the one hand, this isn’t much of a surprise. Much like the three other young corner outfielders on this year’s market, Puig was an awfully tough player to gauge.
All the more so in his case … not only does Puig come with some performance questions, but he’s a notably eccentric player whose occasional hijinks may not be fully welcomed by all organizations.
But this was hardly inevitable. Puig also has long looked like an intriguing buy-low candidate — one that a value-hunting team might well have targeted from the outset.
Whatever the background, we now have a much clearer picture of the Puig situation than when we predicted he’d take down a one-year, $8MM deal when the market opened.
We’ve now seen Castellanos (four years, $64MM), Ozuna (one year, $18MM), and Avisail Garcia (two years, $20MM) set a market that had been ill-defined.
And multiple teams have filled openings, of course, even beyond the clubs that inked those players (the
Reds,
Braves, and
Brewers).
The
Diamondbacks and
Marlins have installed multiple outfielders; the
White Sox seem to have filled out their lineup.
But that’s not to say that it’s now all that obvious where Puig ought to land. The
Tigers — our guess at the outset of the winter — still make sense for all the same reasons.
But it’s also possible the club will prefer to preserve its roster flexibility to jump on some intriguing players that shake loose early in 2020.
A return to the
Indians still makes some amount of sense if the club elects to add back some salary.
That the Cleveland org went out and got Puig last year adds to the plausibility.
There are other teams worth considering as possibilities.
The
Rangers have pursued a righty bat to join a lefty-heavy outfield mix, though whether they’ve got interest in Puig specifically isn’t clear.
It’s wild to imagine it, but the
Giants are certainly an on-paper fit for the same essential reasons that the Tigers are.
You could argue that the
Orioles should be as well, even if they already have a few guys on hand that they’d like to give a look to.
And why not the
Rockies? The club isn’t spending much, but could perhaps find a way to make one bet and could really use the upside.
Puig’s right-handed bat would provide much-needed lineup balance.
And what about teams back-filling after trades?
The
Pirates could be involved in theory, though they’re mostly in need of center field capability and are surely wary of off-field (or on-field) shenanigans after a trying 2019 season.
The
Mariners previously dropped Domingo Santana and aren’t exactly laden with established talent.
And hey, what about the
Red Sox? If they end up dealing Mookie Betts, an upside play might be just the ticket.
If we consider timeshare possibilities, the
Angels make some sense. The club needs to be willing to accept some risk to turn the corner.
Puig could pair with Brian Goodwin while the club waits for Jo Adell to force his way up.
The
Marlins can still consider Puig as part of a revamped lineup mix, even if they aren’t really set up to install him as an everyday presence.
If there’s still an avenue for the
Rays to jump in on Puig, it’s a narrow one now that Jose Martinez and Randy Arozarena are on hand.
But the Tampa Bay organization can surely figure a way to shift things around if it sees a chance to shoehorn in a value opportunity.
It takes some squinting and some balancing of tradeoffs even to imagine a fit for Puig.
Just how specific teams feel about the polarizing player, and just what situation he prefers, will no doubt dictate the outcome.
But there are plenty of theoretical possibilities.
------------------------------------------------Team Spending List 1/6/20Team Spending List 1/21/20TOP 50 FREE AGENT WATCH (changed to MLBTR list, it was better)
Gerrit Cole SP-- New York Yankees
Anthony Rendon 3B--
Los Angeles AngelsStephen Strasburg SP--
Washington NationalsJosh Donaldson 3B--
Minnesota TwinsZack Wheeler SP--
Philadelphia PhilliesMadison Bumgarner SP--
Arizona DiamondbacksYasmani Grandal C-- Chicago White Sox
Marcell Ozuna LF--
Atlanta BravesHyun-Jin Ryu SP--
Toronto Blue JaysJake Odorizzi SP--
Minnesota TwinsNicholas Castellanos RF--
Cincinnati RedsDidi Gregorius SS--
Philadelphia PhilliesWill Smith RP--
Atlanta BravesDallas Keuchel SP-- Chicago White Sox
Cole Hamels SP--
Atlanta BravesJose Abreu 1B-- Chicago White Sox
Michael Pineda SP--
Minnesota TwinsMike Moustakas 2B--
Cincinnati RedsKyle Gibson SP--
Texas RangersTanner Roark SP--
Toronto Blue JaysJulio Teheran (the GOAT) SP--
Los Angeles AngelsWill Harris RP--
Washington NationalsDrew Pomeranz SP--
San Diego PadresWade Miley SP--
Cincinnati RedsCorey Dickerson CF--
Miami MarlinsTravis d'Arnaud C--
Atlanta BravesChris Martin RP--
Atlanta BravesDaniel Hudson SP--
Washington NationalsAvisail Garcia RF--
Milwaukee BrewersHowie Kendrick DH--
Washington NationalsRick Porcello SP--
New York MetsBrett Gardner LF-- New York Yankees
Robinson Chirinos C--
Texas RangersJason Castro C--
Los Angeles AngelsCraig Stammen RP--
San Diego PadresSteve Cishek RP-- Chicago White Sox
Yasiel Puig RF --Edwin Encarnacion DH-- Chicago White Sox
Alex Wood SP--
Los Angeles DodgersAdam Wainwright SP--
St. Louis CardinalsBrock Holt 2B--Josh Lindblom RP--
Milwaukee BrewersDellin Betances SP--
New York MetsKole Calhoun RF--
Arizona DiamondbacksShogo Akiyama CF--
Cincinnati RedsRich Hill SP--
Minnesota TwinsMichael Wacha SP--
New York MetsIvan Nova SP--
Detroit TigersPedro Strop RP--Drew Smyly SP--
San Francisco Giantstop 50 FA SIGNINGS BY TEAM:Angels - 3 _________ Rendon, Teheran, Castro
Blue Jays - 2 _______ Ryu, Roark
Braves - 5 _________ Ozuna, Hamels, Smith, d'Arnaud, Martin
Brewers - 2 ________ Garcia, Lindblom
Cardinals - 1 _______ Wainwright
Diamondbacks - 2___ Bumgarner, Calhoun
Dodgers - 1 ________ Wood
Giants - 1__________ Smyly
Marlins - 1_________ Dickerson
Mets - 3___________ Porcello, Betances, Wacha
Nationals - 4 _______ Strasburg, Kendrick, Harris, Hudson
Padres - 2 _________ Pomeranz, Stammen
Phillies - 2 _________ Wheeler, Gregorius
Rangers - 2 ________ Gibson, Chirinos
Reds - 4___________ Moustakas, Castellanos, Miley, Akiyama
Tigers - 1 __________ Nova
Twins - 4 __________ Donaldson, Odorizzi, Pineda, Hill
White Sox - 5_______ Grandal, Encarnacion, Keuchel, Abreu, Cishek
Yankees - 2 ________ Cole, Gardner
TRADES:Pittsburgh Pirates traded OF Starling Marte to the
Arizona Diamondbacks for prospects Liover Peguero and Brennan Malone
Tampa Bay Rays traded OF Tommy Pham to the
San Diego Padres for OF Hunter Renfroe and SS Xavier Edwards
Miami Marlins claimed 1B Jesus Aguilar off waivers from
Tampa Bay RaysBaltimore Orioles have traded RHP Dylan Bundy to the
Los Angeles Angels for RHP Isaac Mattson, RHP Zach Peek, RHP Kyle Bradish, and RHP Kyle Brnovich
Houston Astros traded OF Jake Marisnick to the
New York Mets for LHP Blake Taylor and OF Kenedy Corona
Tampa Bay Rays have acquired OF Jose Martinez and OF Randy Arozarena from the
St. Louis Cardinals for LHP Matt Liberatore
Seattle Mariners traded C Omar Narvaez to the
Milwaukee Brewers for RHP Adam Hill
San Francisco Giants acquired Zack Cozart and Will Wilson from the
Los Angeles Angels for cash
Baltimore Orioles traded 2B Jonathan Villar to
Miami Marlins for LHP Easton Lucas
Milwaukee Brewers traded RHP Chase Anderson to
Toronto Blue Jays for 1B Chad Spanberger
Chicago White Sox acquire Nomar Mazara from the
Texas RangersBoston Red Sox traded C Sandy Leon to
Cleveland Indians for RHP Adenys Bautista
San Diego Padres traded Player To Be Named Later, LHP Eric Lauer and 2B Luis Urias to
Milwaukee Brewers for RF Trent Grisham and RHP Zach Davies
This post was edited by Jewlio on Jan 28 2020 11:23am