I'll do a daily Favored/Underdog pick.
Keep in mind this is all opinion, just like everyone else's locks.
Obviously the favored pick is going to be a safer pick.
All picks are ML. These are not the safest picks as heavy favorites are generally better.
Note: I will not pick a favored team over -199 (2:1 is ez to call locks)
____ : I will not pick an underdog team under +114 (1:1.1 isn't really underdog, basically even)
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7/6 Picks:
Teams eliminated: Giants, Mets, Nationals, Tigers, A's, Twins, Orioles, Dodgers
Favored
@ ASTROS -138 (M. Fiers) > MARINERS +128 (W. LeBlanc)
I think Fiers is the better pitcher.
Astros are 10-15 against a LHP, Mariners are 31-24 against a RHP.
Mariners are 4-2 last 6, but are 0-5 last 5 on the road and 1-4 last 5 @ Astros.
Astros are 13-3 last 16 and 8-2 last 10 at home.
Mike Fiers (RHP): 6-3, 4.12 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 60k, 19bb (Last 3: 6ip 4h 0er, 4.1ip 9h 2er, 5.2ip 4h 0er)
Wade LeBlanc (LHP): 1-0, 1.50 ERA, 0.67 WHIP, 8k, 2bb (Last 2 [only started 2 games]: 6ip 3h 2er, 6ip 3h 0er)
Underdog
PIRATES +150 (J. Locke) > @ CARDINALS -165 (J. Garcia)
I think Garcia is the better pitcher but the Pirates are the hotter team.
Pirates are 12-8 against a LHP, Cardinals are 12-11 against a LHP.
Pirates are 5-0 last 5, 5-0 last 5 on road, and 6-1 last 7 @ Cardinals.
Cardinals are 3-9 last 12 at home.
Jeff Locke (LHP): 8-5, 5.13 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 49k, 31bb (Last 3: 5ip 3h 3er, 7ip 5h 1er, 6.2ip 5h 0er)
Jaime Garcia (LHP): 6-6, 3.84 ERA, 1.34 WHIP, 81k, 33bb (Last 3: 8ip 4h 1er, 5.2ip 10h 5er, 6.2ip 6h 2er)
This post was edited by Esthetic on Jul 6 2016 02:31pm