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Member
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Jun 7 2024 04:18am
Quote (Modulok2405 @ 7 Jun 2024 10:41)
Your luck is nothing compared to his bad luck :-)

Getting an Uber Unique in 2 normal Andy runs is about a 1% chance.

Getting 2 Ubers in 10 Tormented Duriel Runs is still about roughly 25%, so this happens a lot.


Your math is totally wrong mate, as Harley813 said 5x2% is way different than 10 or mentioned by you 9,6%.
Thing is that the chance to get an uber is always 2%, the only thing that increases making a tormented duriel is extending the pool 5x times which isn't equal to multiplying your chances.
Read about gamblers paradox:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy
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Jun 7 2024 04:29am
Quote (alkaline808 @ 7 Jun 2024 06:47)
I did 67 torment duriels and got 0 uber uniques. Got one on my 68th try.
Finished with 1 uber unique through 76 tormented duriel runs


Cry
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Jun 7 2024 04:47am
Quote (winiar1422 @ Jun 7 2024 12:18pm)
Your math is totally wrong mate, as Harley813 said 5x2% is way different than 10 or mentioned by you 9,6%.
Thing is that the chance to get an uber is always 2%, the only thing that increases making a tormented duriel is extending the pool 5x times which isn't equal to multiplying your chances.
Read about gamblers paradox:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy


Its not equal to multiplying, no. But it is ALMOST equal in that case.

There is plenty of chance calculators out there mate, how about using one?

If you have a 2% chance for a certain outcome and can try 5 times, your summed up chance is 9,6%. Thats reality. Deal with it.

That, by the way, has nothing to do with the gambler's paradox, its just math.

This post was edited by Modulok2405 on Jun 7 2024 04:52am
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Jun 7 2024 06:28am
I just got my first one yesterday after maybe like 20

The drop rate of Uber uniques isn’t the issue though, the drop rate of Stygian stones is fucking atrocious
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