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Grail 177: Magnus' Skin

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Grail 178: Arctic Binding (Arctic Gear set done)
Grail 179: Ume's Lament
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Grail 181: Tancred's Weird

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This post was edited by Lesygnok on Nov 1 2021 04:57pm
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Nov 1 2021 05:11pm
And that makes it a total of 300 runs.
Last 50 runs gave me one more item of my list (Mavina's Tenet).

So how long until Titan's? With Titan's droprate with my current MF (296%) Titan's is 1:634 - or 0,16%.
For the sake of simplicity lets just say I have had 296% MF in all of my 300 runs, this would mean chances for 0 Titan's in 300 runs is 62,3%. In other words Titan's should so far have 37,7% chance to have dropped at least once for me.

When I hit 440 runs my chances to see at least one pair of Titan's will be above 50%.
I will have to do 879 runs in order to be at least 75% sure to have seen Titan's at least once.
1459 runs in order to be 90% sure.
1889 to be at least 95% sure.
And 2918 runs to be 99% sure.

So yeah, we might still be here for a while :)


Last 50 runs I've had the following items:


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Grail 184: Earthshaker

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Grail 186: Zakarum's Hand

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Grail 187: Rattlecage

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Quote (Lesygnok @ Nov 2 2021 12:11am)
And that makes it a total of 300 runs.
Last 50 runs gave me one more item of my list (Mavina's Tenet).

So how long until Titan's? With Titan's droprate with my current MF (296%) Titan's is 1:634 - or 0,16%.
For the sake of simplicity lets just say I have had 296% MF in all of my 300 runs, this would mean chances for 0 Titan's in 300 runs is 62,3%. In other words Titan's should so far have 37,7% chance to have dropped at least once for me.

When I hit 440 runs my chances to see at least one pair of Titan's will be above 50%.
I will have to do 879 runs in order to be at least 75% sure to have seen Titan's at least once.
1459 runs in order to be 90% sure.
1889 to be at least 95% sure.
And 2918 runs to be 99% sure.

So yeah, we might still be here for a while :)


Last 50 runs I've had the following items:

https://i.imgur.com/eg9AteP.png



Took me 676 runs to get titans, and then it dropped again 20 runs later. So the drop chance is pretty exact, at least for this instense
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