Gavnlig resigned:

At the time of writing, I'm at
Run #333 with
71 Threshers so far, 3 of which have been eth.
At
1/20 chance of dropping eth, and assuming there's an equal
1/6 chance of getting 0/max sockets,
1/120 Threshers should spawn eth 4os right?
With Threshers dropping approximately
every 5 runs, I'm looking at around
600 runs before an eth 4os Thresher.
If any of you folks are good at probability, I'd love some help to figure out this last part:
When factoring in cubing, I'll get
1/20 * 1/6 * 1/5 * 1/6 = 1/3600 chance of rolling 4os off a 0os Thresher.
These two add up to
7/3600 chance for 4os eth from both sources, which is converted to
.1941% chance per run or around
514 runs totalAnyone know if this is correct? Also, when a white/grey item drops, are the chances equal for 0 sockets and x≠0 sockets?
Enough math, let's click some buttons!
Craft #136:
Craft #137: Nice life though
This post was edited by Gavnlig on Jun 17 2018 05:06pm